Israeli General Election (2nd of March, 2020): Madness

[Hnv1]

Expected date: 10th of March.

[Walmart_shopper]

That's the day after Purim, I think. Keep the fun alive, right?

[America Needs R'hllor]

I'm tired.

[Walmart_shopper]

I'm tired.

Wait for March, habibi. Your patience will be rewarded.

[Hnv1]

That's the day after Purim, I think. Keep the fun alive, right?

yes, they might merge the events to save some money, but it might cause some funny-unfunny events in the polls.
As it stands there's no party funding left for this election cycle, which is also quite problematic, Likud spent over 140 million NIS the past year

[jaichind]

Is there any reason to believe the results might be any different this time?  Perhaps Arab fatigue lower seat count of Joint List and helping Likud.

[The Mikado]

That's the day after Purim, I think. Keep the fun alive, right?

According to the Talmud, on election day one is to get so drunk that you can no longer tell the difference between the cries of "Praised be Gantz!" and "Cursed be Bibi!"

[Hnv1]

Is there any reason to believe the results might be any different this time?  Perhaps Arab fatigue lower seat count of Joint List and helping Likud.

Arab fatigue could be equaled by fatigue of poor voters of the Likud base.

I don't believe the seat map will change much. the left-centre-arab bloc might increase by 1-2 seats but still not enough to swear in a minority government.

[Walmart_shopper]

Is there any reason to believe the results might be any different this time?  Perhaps Arab fatigue lower seat count of Joint List and helping Likud.

Arab fatigue? No, what will make this election different and decidedly unhelpful to the Likud is Netanyahu fatigue. The left (and indefatigable Arabs) smell blood and a significant non-Bibist flank of the right just doesn't even care anymore about propping up an indicted and autocratic pm who has cannibalized all the energy and ideas on the right for his own political survival. These are factors that give the left a majority.

It may in fact play out exactly as it did in September, but if it's different it will be favorably so for the left and not the right.

[jaymichaud]

Why do I have a feeling this is going to be a big punch to the right bloc?

Polls are showing The Jewish Home aren't going to make the threshold at all and we all know New Right sure as sh*t aren't going to win 6 seats as predicted. Likud keeping their 31 sounds far fetched too. Idk I see B&W coming off very well from this.

[bigic]

Won't New Right be running with Likud?

[jaymichaud]

Won't New Right be running with Likud?

No.

http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/271353

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Is there any reason to believe the results might be any different this time?  Perhaps Arab fatigue lower seat count of Joint List and helping Likud.

Arab fatigue? No, what will make this election different and decidedly unhelpful to the Likud is Netanyahu fatigue. The left (and indefatigable Arabs) smell blood and a significant non-Bibist flank of the right just doesn't even care anymore about propping up an indicted and autocratic pm who has cannibalized all the energy and ideas on the right for his own political survival. These are factors that give the left a majority.

It may in fact play out exactly as it did in September, but if it's different it will be favorably so for the left and not the right.

Remember that this is "I'd be a sex trafficker if the money in it outweighed the risk of getting caught" jaichind you're talking to. His main problem with Netanyahu, if he has any at all, is probably that he hasn't made it legal for business owners to kill their employees for kicks.

Also, initially I was hoping I could start this thread myself so I could call it either "Israeli Election! Here We Go Again" or "Israeli Election 3: Oh Hell No!".

[Estrella]

"The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result" - a certain Jew (and almost president of Israel)

^{(I'm not the first one to use this quote, right?)}

[Oryxslayer]

"The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result" - a certain Jew (and almost president of Israel)

^{(I'm not the first one to use this quote, right?)}

I don't think Bibi expects a different result, I think he just wants to delay the inevitable so that him being removed from power is the deviation from normalcy, not the other way around. Which is so self-centered he's even throwing Likuds long-term future aside for a few more days.

[parochial boy]

You guys may have inadvertently come across a solution to the palestinien conflict. Just bore everyone into submission

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Is there any reason to worry that the last-minute "Liberman Come Home" lovebomb that Likud apparently has planned will go anywhere?

[CumbrianLefty]

Is there an Israeli equivalent of "Brenda from Bristol"?

[omar04]

65% of Israelis wanted Netanyahu to resign as head of Likud if indicted back in an October poll. What impact will this have on the March election?

[jaymichaud]

https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/elections/netanyahu-calls-for-direct-election-if-talks-over-unity-gov-t-with-gantz-fai-1.8230152

Obviously not happening, but interesting move.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/AsiaElects/status/1204033915327074305

They can agree on something I guess? Sigh....

[jaymichaud]

https://www.timesofisrael.com/lapid-gives-up-rotation-deal-with-gantz-in-bid-to-boost-blue-and-white/

Wise move. I find him cringeworthy as hell, no idea why.

Edit: Also I’ve always been convinced he’s a closet bisexual. What’s with him always hugging and kissing his male colleagues?

[Walmart_shopper]

https://www.timesofisrael.com/lapid-gives-up-rotation-deal-with-gantz-in-bid-to-boost-blue-and-white/

Wise move. I find him cringeworthy as hell, no idea why.

Edit: Also I’ve always been convinced he’s a closet bisexual. What’s with him always hugging and kissing his male colleagues?

Not bisexual. Just Israeli.

[Continential]

I wonder how many Lieberman voters want there to be a Government and will not vote for Yisrael Beiteinu?

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/jacobkornbluh/status/1204465766453694464

Does Bibi want to lose? Bibi already has McLaughlin on board, so this would be a team of the worlds least savvy conservatives.