The “Who is running in 2024?” tea leaves thread

[Suburbia]

Pence is unelectable

[Suburbia]

A Pence-Noem ticket would be too Midwestern, too white.

But it would bring back some of the Karens in Dublin, Ohio, in suburban Morris County, suburban LA, Orange County, etc.

[Suburbia]

Bernie threatens to challenge Biden or Harris in 2024 primary if agenda is not passed

https://www.mediaite.com/news/watch-bernie-sanders-doesnt-rule-out-2024-primary-challenge-to-joe-biden-or-kamala-harris/

[Suburbia]

Nina Turner could challenge Biden or Harris

If Turner does well in South Carolina and the South, it would pose a problem for VP Harris

[Suburbia]

Progressives vow bloodbath if Biden loses

https://nypost.com/2020/10/31/progressives-sharpen-knives-for-dem-bloodbath-if-biden-loses/

The moderate wing of the Democratic Party will be decimated

Centrists will have to form their own party

[Suburbia]

Progressives vow bloodbath if Biden loses

https://nypost.com/2020/10/31/progressives-sharpen-knives-for-dem-bloodbath-if-biden-loses/

The moderate wing of the Democratic Party will be decimated

Centrists will have to form their own party

I have a hunch they're likely to do better in primaries if Biden wins, rather than loses. One of the better ways to illustrate the flaws in a theory of political change is to demonstrate them.

Bernie is too old. Who gets the nod?

[Suburbia]

Progressives vow bloodbath if Biden loses

https://nypost.com/2020/10/31/progressives-sharpen-knives-for-dem-bloodbath-if-biden-loses/

The moderate wing of the Democratic Party will be decimated

Centrists will have to form their own party

I have a hunch they're likely to do better in primaries if Biden wins, rather than loses. One of the better ways to illustrate the flaws in a theory of political change is to demonstrate them.

Bernie is too old. Who gets the nod?

I meant downballot primaries in '22 and '24. Conversely, the establishment wing would be more favoured in the presidential primary because Biden would either run again and probably face no serious competition or Kamala Harris would clear the field early with the institutional support typically afforded to a sitting Vice President.

In terms of who (among progressives) would run in a genuinely competitive '24 presidential primary, I'd guess Warren will try to go for it again, although I don't think it'll go well for her. Others to watch are Jeff Merkley and Tammy Baldwin; Sherrod Brown might try, but a presidential run could damage his chances if he ended up running for Senate again so I think he'd only do it if he was already convinced he'd lose his Senate seat anyway.

AOC might run after a second Trump term, but I think it's slightly less likely under a Biden presidency. I also don't think that bid would go particularly well but there's always a lot of uncertainty this far out.

They're white. A progressive of color will have to win. White progressivism doesn't win

[Suburbia]

Heads are going to roll if Biden loses.

I would not like to see the far-left take over the Democratic Party.....it would be chaotic.

AOC gives America 4 more years of Tucker or Hawley

[Suburbia]

Tim Scott will never be president.

He doesn't want to either.

[Suburbia]

For Republicans, it will be either a Hispanic or a woman.

I don't know if Nikki Haley could do well with Black male voters.....

[Suburbia]

Ron DeSantis to push law enforcement support in Staten Island and Chicago, looking for urban ethnic support in 2024

It's sad that Democratic voters have to rely on white urban and suburban Republicans to protect their cities......this was once the party of the strong union man....and people like DeSantis is corralling LEO as a GOP bloc.