The “Who is running in 2024?” tea leaves thread

[TrumpBritt24]

Stacey Abrams says that she will become President by 2040.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/01/31/stacey-abrams-president-2040-109869

[Grassroots]

Stacey Abrams says that she will become President by 2040.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/01/31/stacey-abrams-president-2040-109869

LMAO

[It’s so Joever]

Stacey Abrams says that she will become President by 2040.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/01/31/stacey-abrams-president-2040-109869

Pff if she really wanted to be president she should have endorsed Biden and accepted his VP offer. Joe Biden’s age would take care of the rest.

[Mr. Morden]

Yang says he might run for president again if he's not the nominee this time:

https://twitter.com/JamesPindell/status/1226325723184533505

[Grassroots]

Yang says he might run for president again if he's not the nominee this time:

https://twitter.com/JamesPindell/status/1226325723184533505

He really is the new Ron Paul.

[Mr. Morden]

Tom Cotton headed to New Hampshire in May:

https://granitegrok.com/blog/2020/02/senator-tom-cotton-to-headline-hillsborough-gop-lincoln-reagan

Meanwhile, this Politico story notes that the following 2024 potentials spoke at CPAC this weekend:

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/28/2024-republicans-trump-cpac-117991

Liz Cheney
Cruz
Haley
Hawley
Pence
Pompeo

They also name check Trump Jr., though note that people in his orbit say he has no interest in running:

Donald Trump Jr. is also on the conference speaker list, and some attendees were spotted carrying around his book. While many have floated the president's son as a prospective 2024 candidate, people close to him insist he has no interest.

Here’s the full CPAC schedule:

https://links.conservative.org/cpac/agenda/cpac-2020-agenda-9dmslp.pdf

Browsing through that schedule, I’d also note another 2024 potential candidate, which is Joni Ernst, given that she sent some signals of national interest back in 2016, such as, e.g., meeting with the New Hampshire delegation at the RNC that year, which seemed to signal that she was considering a 2020 presidential bid in the event that Clinton had beaten Trump that year.

[Horsemask]

Hawley will be a name to watch for the future, though I feel like he's probably a few cycles away. He's only 40, after all.

[Mr. Morden]

Trump Jr. says “I have no intention of running in 2024.”:

https://www.axios.com/donald-trump-jr-hbo-2024-presidential-election-580d8450-97f3-4d94-a690-9d9ae555579a.html

   •   "Listen, I have no intention of running in 2024. I mean, I've liked the game."
   •   "My only goal and my myopic focus is making sure my father gets re-elected because I want to keep the winning continuing."
   •   "I want to keep that going, so that’s my only focus."

[Grassroots]

Trump Jr. says “I have no intention of running in 2024.”:

https://www.axios.com/donald-trump-jr-hbo-2024-presidential-election-580d8450-97f3-4d94-a690-9d9ae555579a.html

   •   "Listen, I have no intention of running in 2024. I mean, I've liked the game."
   •   "My only goal and my myopic focus is making sure my father gets re-elected because I want to keep the winning continuing."
   •   "I want to keep that going, so that’s my only focus."

YES!!!!!!! WOOOOOOO!!!!!

A serious primary!

[Mr. Morden]

The Republican Jewish Coalition’s annual conference has been posponed due to coronavirus:

https://www.haaretz.com/us-news/.premium-republican-jewish-coalition-postpones-annual-confab-poised-to-host-donald-trump-1.8665423

However, before the cancellation, they had lined up several speakers with possible presidential ambitions:

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/pompeo-nikki-haley-and-greg-abbott-to-appear-at-republican-jewish-coalition-confab-signaling-2024-ambitions

E.g., Abbot, Ernst, Haley, and Pompeo.  The conference had been set to take place in the early caucus state of Nevada.

In other news, Vanity Fair has a story about Karen Pence updating her fashion sense to be more First Lady-esque:

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2020/02/inside-remaking-of-karen-pence-mike-pence-2024

As I’ve reported, the Pences have been focused on the White House since November 2008, the moment after then senator Barack Obama’s election, when Mike truly caught fire on the right. Their original plan in joining the Trump ticket, sources told me for my book, was to run for the Republican nomination in 2020 when Trump lost in 2016. That, of course, didn’t happen, so the Pences’ window was pushed to 2024. Since the 2016 election, Mike has campaigned and fundraised extensively for Trump, which has the dual benefit of giving him exposure and developing stronger ties with Republican mega-donors who will decide who runs in the subsequent election.

Ergo the timing for the reinvention of Karen, said one longtime Indiana Republican, is ideal. If they waited until the 2024 campaign to reinvent her image, too many people would take notice. But now, with the Democratic primary and the Trump media circus running full tilt, is the perfect time for a soft launch. The Indiana Republican noted the Pences have time and space to make mistakes before the heat of the spotlight melts them. “They’re playing long ball.”

[Mr. Morden]

Rick Scott is buying attack ad TV space in Iowa to fight Joe Biden, surely a sign that he's looking toward the future politically.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/01/28/florida-senator-iowa-bomb-biden-108416

Scott is also running a Spanish language ad in Florida attacking Sanders over “past praise of Cuba’s Fidel Castro, Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro and Nicaragua’s Daniel Ortega”:

https://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2020/03/10/scott-slams-sanders-in-spanish-language-ad-1266324

The ad is running in Miami, Orlando, Tampa and Fort Myers. The Scott campaign said the ad buy would be in the mid five figures. It lands as thousands of Floridians already are casting ballots — nearly 655,000 Democrats have already voted, according to the state Division of Elections.

Scott’s interference in the Democratic primary is widely seen in Republican circles as a warm-up act for either his reelection or a 2024 bid for president, where he could face fellow Floridians Gov. Ron DeSantis or Sen. Marco Rubio.

Meanwhile, Tom Cotton is running an ad in Ohio(!):

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/14/cotton-scott-trump-128972

The content was standard, pro-Trump, anti-Democrat fare. What was very atypical was that it aired hundreds of miles from his home state, in Ohio.
.
.
.
Aside from getting Trump's back, Cotton and Scott are using the spots to introduce themselves to voters. Both appear prominently: While Scott is face-to-camera, Cotton’s features a side-by-side shot of him with the president. Cotton, an Iraq War veteran, is seen wearing combat uniform with a machine gun strapped to his chest.

In separate interviews, neither Scott nor Cotton explicitly denied interest in running for president in four years. They deflected questions about whether their efforts could help position them for presidential runs down the line, saying they were just interested in bolstering Trump.

Also speaking of Scott, he campaigned for Trump in New Hampshire last month:

https://thecapitolist.com/rick-scott-appears-at-trump-rally-amid-2024-presidential-bid-speculation/

[Mr. Morden]

Haley resigns from the board of Boeing over their Coronavirus bailout bid:

https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/03/20/818909351/nikki-haley-resigns-from-boeings-board-over-coronavirus-bailout-bid

According to a company filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, "Ambassador Haley informed the Company that, as a matter of philosophical principle, she does not believe that the Company should seek support from the Federal Government, and therefore decided to resign from the Board."

In her letter of resignation, Haley wrote, "As we encounter the Covid-19 crisis, Boeing, along with many other companies, face another major set of challenges. I want to be part of helping the company as it pushes through it. However, the board and executive team are going in a direction I cannot support.

"While I know cash is tight, that is equally true for numerous other industries and for millions of small businesses. I cannot support a move to lean on the federal government for a stimulus or bailout that prioritizes our company over others and relies on taxpayers to guarantee our financial position. I have long held strong convictions that this is not the role of government."

Widely viewed as a future potential GOP presidential candidate, Haley's decision could be a way to insulate herself from future charges that she supported a taxpayer-funded bailout of a private company.

[brucejoel99]

Haley resigns from the board of Boeing over their Coronavirus bailout bid:

https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/03/20/818909351/nikki-haley-resigns-from-boeings-board-over-coronavirus-bailout-bid

According to a company filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, "Ambassador Haley informed the Company that, as a matter of philosophical principle, she does not believe that the Company should seek support from the Federal Government, and therefore decided to resign from the Board."

In her letter of resignation, Haley wrote, "As we encounter the Covid-19 crisis, Boeing, along with many other companies, face another major set of challenges. I want to be part of helping the company as it pushes through it. However, the board and executive team are going in a direction I cannot support.

"While I know cash is tight, that is equally true for numerous other industries and for millions of small businesses. I cannot support a move to lean on the federal government for a stimulus or bailout that prioritizes our company over others and relies on taxpayers to guarantee our financial position. I have long held strong convictions that this is not the role of government."

Widely viewed as a future potential GOP presidential candidate, Haley's decision could be a way to insulate herself from future charges that she supported a taxpayer-funded bailout of a private company.

Yeah, if nothing else, this story reveals her political career isn't over. She simply can't sit on a board that's asking for a $60B government bailout & expect to be taken seriously as a Republican presidential candidate.

[beaver2.0]

I think this article is very interesting and I do agree that you can figure out most of the major players 5 years out — and things get even more clear after the election.

I would point out that each of the past few elections brought someone who wouldn’t have been noticed 5 years prior being a decently sized player in the election. Here’s a list:

2020: Pete Buttigieg (South Bend Mayor) or Andrew Yang (businessman)
2016: Ted Cruz (Private Lawyer, Fmr. Texas Solicitor General running for Senate)
2012: Bachmann and Herman Cain [this year was harder to do]
2008: Barack Obama (State Senator running for Senate)
2004: Wesley Clark (NATO commander)
2000: Alan Keyes (State Department Assistant Undersecretary)

I could go on and on, but I think we should also expect at least one person who is WAY off of our radar to make an impact in the race along with the usual suspects in this article.

Here's a rundown on 2024 maneuvering, that doesn't really break any big news, but is still an interesting read:

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/01/03/2024-presidential-election-candidates-091055

I really wouldn't think of Alan Keyes as a "major" player in 2000. Plus for 2016 you're forgetting the biggest one. Yeah he was famous but who actually would have thought he'd go anywhere?

If it has to be any Democrat, let it be Michael Franken....

Or Steve Bullock, but I don't quite think he qualifies here.

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/Mdixon55/status/1247119262776537088

[brucejoel99]

https://twitter.com/Mdixon55/status/1247119262776537088

Little Marco has neither the personality nor charisma to win a GOP presidential primary.

[Mr. Morden]

Looks like I missed this at the time, but Chris Christie had intended to do a New Hampshire trip two weeks ago to fundraise for Republicans there, but the event was cancelled due to coronavirus:

https://www.wmur.com/article/nh-primary-source-chris-christie-to-return-to-nh-for-sununu-mowers-fundraisers/31232510
https://newjerseyglobe.com/national/christie-cancels-new-hampshire-trip/

The first story notes that Christie has also held a fundraiser for NH-1 candidate Matt Mowers in New Jersey.

Christie also made a trip to NH last year as part of his book tour:

https://patch.com/new-hampshire/concord-nh/christie-keynote-lincoln-reagan-dinner-concord

While he was there, he did an interview in which he was asked about 2024.  (You can see an edited version here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i9U-US5U02w&feature=youtu.be Skip ahead to the ~4:40 mark.) He gave a noncommittal answer, but noted that he’s too young to retire from politics, and all of his kids will be out of college by then, so he wouldn’t preclude making more trips to New Hampshire around that time (if you get his drift).

[Grassroots]

Looks like I missed this at the time, but Chris Christie had intended to do a New Hampshire trip two weeks ago to fundraise for Republicans there, but the event was cancelled due to coronavirus:

https://www.wmur.com/article/nh-primary-source-chris-christie-to-return-to-nh-for-sununu-mowers-fundraisers/31232510
https://newjerseyglobe.com/national/christie-cancels-new-hampshire-trip/

The first story notes that Christie has also held a fundraiser for NH-1 candidate Matt Mowers in New Jersey.

Christie also made a trip to NH last year as part of his book tour:

https://patch.com/new-hampshire/concord-nh/christie-keynote-lincoln-reagan-dinner-concord

While he was there, he did an interview in which he was asked about 2024.  (You can see an edited version here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i9U-US5U02w&feature=youtu.be Skip ahead to the ~4:40 mark.) He gave a noncommittal answer, but noted that he’s too young to retire from politics, and all of his kids will be out of college by then, so he wouldn’t preclude making more trips to New Hampshire around that time (if you get his drift).

Christie is over, why is he so delusional?

[Nightcore Nationalist]

https://twitter.com/Mdixon55/status/1247119262776537088

Little Marco has neither the personality nor charisma to win a GOP presidential primary.

To be fair, do Pompeo or Liz Cheney have either?  Although it's obvious Rubio's moment has come and gone, I'm confused as why they are considered serious 2024 candidates.

[Real Texan Politics]

Here's my list of potential candidates:

Republicans:
Ben Shapiro
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump Jr.
George P. Bush
Lindsey Graham
Greg Abbott
Dan Crenshaw
Rand Paul
Ben Carson
Mike Pence
Marco Rubio
Scott Walker
Nikki Haley
John James
Josh Hawley
Doug Ducey
Ron DeSantis
Tim Scott
Will Hurd
Tom Cotton
Mike Pompeo

Democrats
Chelsea Clinton
Kamala Harris
Andrew Yang
Pete Buttigieg
Oprah Winfrey
Andrew Cuomo
Ilhan Omar
Rashida Tlaib
Stacey Abrams
Beto O'Rourke
Elizabeth Warren
Michelle Obama
Shaun King
Gavin Newsome
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Tim Kaine

Honorable Mentions:
Tucker Carlson (R)
Alex Jones (R)
Candace Owens (R)
John Bel Edwards (D)

I also think Kanye West and Dwayne Johnson may try running as independents, but I don't expect them to get very far (although Kanye may)

[Mr. Morden]

Apparently, back in February, at CPAC, Scott Walker said another presidential run for him was possible:

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/former-gop-gov-scott-walker-floats-potential-2024-2028-presidential-bid-at-cpac

When asked whether he would run for president again, he said: “Never say never—I don’t know about 2024, but 2028—yeah, at some point. I’ve got plenty of time.”

[Nightcore Nationalist]

Apparently, back in February, at CPAC, Scott Walker said another presidential run for him was possible:

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/former-gop-gov-scott-walker-floats-potential-2024-2028-presidential-bid-at-cpac

When asked whether he would run for president again, he said: “Never say never—I don’t know about 2024, but 2028—yeah, at some point. I’ve got plenty of time.”

Huh, I didn't know Walker attended CPAC.  But it's not happening unless he wins a rematch with Evers,  which is unlikely.

[beaver2.0]

Imagine Tuberville 2024.

[brucejoel99]

Imagine Tuberville 2024.

Ew.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

2020: Pete Buttigieg (South Bend Mayor) or Andrew Yang (businessman)
2016: Ted Cruz (Private Lawyer, Fmr. Texas Solicitor General running for Senate)
2012: Bachmann and Herman Cain [this year was harder to do]
2008: Barack Obama (State Senator running for Senate)
2004: Wesley Clark (NATO commander)
2000: Alan Keyes (State Department Assistant Undersecretary)

For 2012, did anyone really see Newt Gingrich running? In 2008, was he on anyone's radar? That was a real blast from the past.

P.S. I knew Buttigieg would run and do well But then I also had a thousand bucks waiting for me if Kamala was the nominee

Gingrich was deemed very likely to run in 2008, but he admitted afterward that his lane was taken and if he ran he pretty much wouldn't have a shot due to people like Huckabee drowning him out. I don't think 2012 was much of a stretch for him at all really.

I worked for a guy who worked for Newt in '12, and he said that they barely were able to get paid because Newt's polling grew exponentially faster than his fundraising did. I remember my grandma wanted him to run in 2008, and she ended up voting for him in 2012 after all.