The “Who is running in 2024?” tea leaves thread

[Florida Paleoconservative]

If I was a betting man, I'd say that LaLawrence J. Hogan Jr. is running for POTUS.

**Lawrence.

[MarkD]

If I was a betting man, I'd say that LaLawrence J. Hogan Jr. is running for POTUS.

https://twitter.com/GovLarryHogan/status/1620891606634344448

And if I were a betting man, I wouldn't waste one penny on a bet that Hogan has any chance whatsoever at winning the nomination. To dream the impossible dream, ...

[Liminal Trans Girl]

Boris Johnson will run, trust in the plan

[JMT]

No politician goes to Iowa by accident…

https://twitter.com/karilake/status/1622717441485987842?s=46&t=GupHRUqXT96i7...

[Sir Mohamed]

No politician goes to Iowa by accident…

https://twitter.com/karilake/status/1622717441485987842?s=46&t=GupHRUqXT96i7_HZGOfStg

She's running to be Trump's VP.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

No politician goes to Iowa by accident…

https://twitter.com/karilake/status/1622717441485987842?s=46&t=GupHRUqXT96i7_HZGOfStg

She's running to be Trump's VP.

I highly doubt she'll get it though. She may either be Trump's press secretary or run for office again in Arizona, but she ain't gonna be VP in 2024.
Trump's VP shortlist was already leaked as being Noem, Greene, Stefanik and Gabbard.

[BenjiG98]

https://twitter.com/natashakorecki/status/1623420894562381827?s=20

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/natashakorecki/status/1623420894562381827?s=20

There more candidates jump in, the more likely is a Trump nomination. At this point, I don't even think DeSantis can dethrone him 1 on 1.

[BenjiG98]

Former 2022 Michigan gubernatorial candidate Perry Johnson is looking likely to run in 2024:

https://twitter.com/PJQualityGuru/status/1623781603787825154?s=20

[JMT]

Former 2022 Michigan gubernatorial candidate Perry Johnson is looking likely to run in 2024:

https://twitter.com/PJQualityGuru/status/1623781603787825154?s=20

Interesting that a guy who failed to qualify for a gubernatorial ballot thinks he should now run for President.

[NewYorkExpress]

Former 2022 Michigan gubernatorial candidate Perry Johnson is looking likely to run in 2024:

https://twitter.com/PJQualityGuru/status/1623781603787825154?s=20

Interesting that a guy who failed to qualify for a gubernatorial ballot thinks he should now run for President.

Watch him compeletly screw up his paperwork for the Republican Primaries.

[Mad Deadly Worldwide Communist Gangster Computer God]

https://twitter.com/natashakorecki/status/1623420894562381827?s=20

How in any way is Chris Sununu a moderate? Does not saying stupid things constantly qualify you as a "moderate" these days?

[Coldstream]

https://twitter.com/natashakorecki/status/1623420894562381827?s=20

There more candidates jump in, the more likely is a Trump nomination. At this point, I don't even think DeSantis can dethrone him 1 on 1.

I think you’ll see something similar to the 2020 Democrat primaries with Sanders as Trump in that situation. I think as much as the likes of Pence, Haley, DeSantis hate each other, they hate Trump more and do want him gone.

[Rat]

https://twitter.com/natashakorecki/status/1623420894562381827?s=20

How in any way is Chris Sununu a moderate? Does not saying stupid things constantly qualify you as a "moderate" these days?

Well, probably because he's got moderate positions on issues.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/natashakorecki/status/1623420894562381827?s=20

There more candidates jump in, the more likely is a Trump nomination. At this point, I don't even think DeSantis can dethrone him 1 on 1.

I think you’ll see something similar to the 2020 Democrat primaries with Sanders as Trump in that situation. I think as much as the likes of Pence, Haley, DeSantis hate each other, they hate Trump more and do want him gone.

The issue with this is that people were able to unite around Biden because Democratic voters wanted to beat Trump more than anything else. It doesn’t matter if the Republican establishment tries to work together, because they still have to convince their deranged voters to do it too. And Republican primary voters care more about purity than they care about beating Biden.

[Canis]

https://kitparsons.substack.com/p/2024withandrewyang
Yang probably out for 2024

I’m always looking to have a positive impact and am in my 40s. Just about every day someone asks me to run again, which I appreciate. I certainly would be open to running again if I thought it would lead to good things for people and the circumstances were right. Right now I believe that structural reforms like Ranked Choice Voting are what the country needs in order for there to be the kind of choices that people want.

and he wants Marianne Williamson to run against Joe Biden

Marianne Williamson is a genuine and moral person. I always enjoyed spending time with her on the trail and consider her a friend. I think that some form of choice and competition in the Democratic Party would be a positive thing. I personally would be supportive.

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/dlippman/status/1625104911682658306?s=46&t=-3dCaD-hLPvWO...

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/maggieNYT/status/1625117626820165633

Breaking: Tim Scott announces he's running for vice president

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/maggieNYT/status/1625117626820165633

Breaking: Tim Scott announces he's running for vice president

Interesting, I thought he previously ruled out a run. But yup, he's running to be VP.

[NewYorkExpress]

https://twitter.com/maggieNYT/status/1625117626820165633
Breaking: Tim Scott announces he's running for vice president

Interesting, I thought he previously ruled out a run. But yup, he's running to be VP.

Everyone who isn't Trump is running to be VP.

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/maggieNYT/status/1625117626820165633
Breaking: Tim Scott announces he's running for vice president

Interesting, I thought he previously ruled out a run. But yup, he's running to be VP.

Everyone who isn't Trump is running to be VP.

Except DeSantis, I think he’s running for real. DeSantis is polling well enough to potentially be the nominee, and Trump won’t pick him for VP. In fact, since Trump and DeSantis are both Florida residents, Trump can’t pick DeSantis for VP without forfeiting Florida’s electoral votes per the Constitution. He can’t win without Florida, so unless Trump becomes a New York resident again, DeSantis is a no go (not that it would happen at this point, anyways. Trump seems to strongly dislike DeSantis now).

[Ragnaroni]

https://twitter.com/maggieNYT/status/1625117626820165633
Breaking: Tim Scott announces he's running for vice president

Interesting, I thought he previously ruled out a run. But yup, he's running to be VP.

Everyone who isn't Trump is running to be VP.

Except DeSantis, I think he’s running for real. DeSantis is polling well enough to potentially be the nominee, and Trump won’t pick him for VP. In fact, since Trump and DeSantis are both Florida residents, Trump can’t pick DeSantis for VP without forfeiting Florida’s electoral votes per the Constitution. He can’t win without Florida, so unless Trump becomes a New York resident again, DeSantis is a no go (not that it would happen at this point, anyways. Trump seems to strongly dislike DeSantis now).

I never understood this. Why can't two people on the same ticket be registered in the same state? What's the logic here?

[Amanda Huggenkiss]

https://twitter.com/maggieNYT/status/1625117626820165633
Breaking: Tim Scott announces he's running for vice president

Interesting, I thought he previously ruled out a run. But yup, he's running to be VP.

Everyone who isn't Trump is running to be VP.

Except DeSantis, I think he’s running for real. DeSantis is polling well enough to potentially be the nominee, and Trump won’t pick him for VP. In fact, since Trump and DeSantis are both Florida residents, Trump can’t pick DeSantis for VP without forfeiting Florida’s electoral votes per the Constitution. He can’t win without Florida, so unless Trump becomes a New York resident again, DeSantis is a no go (not that it would happen at this point, anyways. Trump seems to strongly dislike DeSantis now).

I never understood this. Why can't two people on the same ticket be registered in the same state? What's the logic here?

Afaik it's a relic of the time when the EC elected president and VP on the same ballot to prevent the electors of a state from just voting for two of their own for president. They had to give an alternative preference to someone not from their state. The procedure has been changed, but the provision sort of remained. It's one of these cases where no one actually knows what is legal and what is not because we never actually had to find out. It has always been more efficient for the parties to just find a workaround.

[Coldstream]

https://twitter.com/maggieNYT/status/1625117626820165633
Breaking: Tim Scott announces he's running for vice president

Interesting, I thought he previously ruled out a run. But yup, he's running to be VP.

Everyone who isn't Trump is running to be VP.

Except DeSantis, I think he’s running for real. DeSantis is polling well enough to potentially be the nominee, and Trump won’t pick him for VP. In fact, since Trump and DeSantis are both Florida residents, Trump can’t pick DeSantis for VP without forfeiting Florida’s electoral votes per the Constitution. He can’t win without Florida, so unless Trump becomes a New York resident again, DeSantis is a no go (not that it would happen at this point, anyways. Trump seems to strongly dislike DeSantis now).

I never understood this. Why can't two people on the same ticket be registered in the same state? What's the logic here?

Afaik it's a relic of the time when the EC elected president and VP on the same ballot to prevent the electors of a state from just voting for two of their own for president. They had to give an alternative preference to someone not from their state. The procedure has been changed, but the provision sort of remained. It's one of these cases where no one actually knows what is legal and what is not because we never actually had to find out. It has always been more efficient for the parties to just find a workaround.

Given how easy it is to find a workaround (a la Cheney 2000), it does seem like it’d be worth reforming the law on this. There’s no real reason to block someone having a VP from their own state.

[emailking]

You can do it without a workaround, you just have to win the election by more than half that state's EVs. Anyway, it would need a Constitutional Amendment to change.