Is Biden done if he loses Iowa, NH and Nevada?

[RGM2609]

If Biden loses all 3 of them, in a not too unlikely scenario, would his campaign be doomed or would he still have a shot at the nomination?

[RGM2609]

Going in 4th in Iowa probably means he's done in New Hampshire.

Interesting. If he manages to surpass Sanders in Iowa and come in third as most poll suggest, would he be more likely to win NH?

[RGM2609]

No, and wont lose NV, only Sanders tops him in Latino support and Sanders trails Biden in NV. SC is his freiwall

I disagree with the Nevada thing. If Buttigieg for example manages to win IA and NH, he will likely steal enough votes from Biden to put Sanders into a narrow first.

[RGM2609]

The Chaos Scenario (IA-Buttigieg, NH-Warren, NV-Sanders, SC-Biden): I mean, Biden probably wins here because of a lack of unified opposition but honestly who tf knows? Contested Convention?

How about IA-Buttigieg, NH-Sanders, NV-Sanders, SC-Biden? That seems more likely.

I disagree. NH, with its older liberals, seems like tailor-made for Warren.

[RGM2609]

Hillary and Bernie were not done in 2008 and 2016 despite losing 2/3 of these, not sure why Biden would be done then...even if losing IA would likely be a bad sign anyway.

They were not facing a field containing 20 people

[RGM2609]

The Chaos Scenario (IA-Buttigieg, NH-Warren, NV-Sanders, SC-Biden): I mean, Biden probably wins here because of a lack of unified opposition but honestly who tf knows? Contested Convention?

How about IA-Buttigieg, NH-Sanders, NV-Sanders, SC-Biden? That seems more likely.

I disagree. NH, with its older liberals, seems like tailor-made for Warren.

Right now she is losing them to Buttigieg, I think Warren blew it. Anyway, you didn't answer my question.

I wasn't the one writing the analysis, but anyway, if Sanders wins NH and NV, he is probably the frontrunner. Warren will be out by Super Tuesday and most of her supporters will defect to Sanders, while Biden can't unite the moderates because of Buttigieg, who will not drop out soon enough because of his IA win. Sanders will be a narrow presumptive nominee at the convention.