Which elections 1960s onward did republicans win the black vote? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 07:45:35 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Which elections 1960s onward did republicans win the black vote? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Which elections 1960s onward did republicans win the black vote?  (Read 1201 times)
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,919
United States


P P
« on: November 21, 2019, 08:03:12 PM »

How did Hogan and Baker do last year? Christie in 2013? Kasich in 2014? Doubt any actually won it but they all definitely did better than the average Republican.

I'd imagine that all four of them got into the teens, possibly doing as well as Nixon and Ford did back in the 1970s (around 16-18% or so), maybe a few points less than that. Hogan, in particular, managed to garner more than a quarter of the vote in heavily black (and heavily Democratic) Prince George's County and Baltimore City, doing significantly better in those counties than he did in 2014. And given that Baker actually won Suffolk County, and managed to get around 43% in Ayanna Pressley's district, it's obvious that he won a substantial number of nonwhite voters, including blacks. Christie too, got close to 40% in Essex and Hudson Counties, which have heavy concentrations of black voters. And Kasich won Cuyahoga and Franklin Counties, and only lost Joyce Beatty's congressional district by a few percentage points.
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,919
United States


P P
« Reply #1 on: November 21, 2019, 11:21:01 PM »

How did Hogan and Baker do last year? Christie in 2013? Kasich in 2014? Doubt any actually won it but they all definitely did better than the average Republican.

I'd imagine that all four of them got into the teens, possibly doing as well as Nixon and Ford did back in the 1970s (around 16-18% or so), maybe a few points less than that. Hogan, in particular, managed to garner more than a quarter of the vote in heavily black (and heavily Democratic) Prince George's County and Baltimore City, doing significantly better in those counties than he did in 2014. And given that Baker actually won Suffolk County, and managed to get around 43% in Ayanna Pressley's district, it's obvious that he won a substantial number of nonwhite voters, including blacks. Christie too, got close to 40% in Essex and Hudson Counties, which have heavy concentrations of black voters. And Kasich won Cuyahoga and Franklin Counties, and only lost Joyce Beatty's congressional district by a few percentage points.

Baker came very close with 47%.
https://www.wbur.org/news/2018/11/10/baker-warren-popular-mass-voters-midterm-elections-2018

Bill Weld might have won it in 1994, but blacks were only 2% so it wasn't surveyed and seems essentially irrelevant.
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/1998/states/MA/polls/MA94GH.html

Also, a CNN exit poll showed Mike Huckabee winning 48% in 1998, but I just can't believe that.
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/1998/states/AR/G/exit.poll.html

Not sure if I can believe the Baker numbers either, but he obviously did very well with black voters. And I don't think Huckabee did that well, but his county map from that year shows him performing better than average for a Republican along the Mississippi River. He also won Pulaski and Jefferson Counties:

Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.024 seconds with 12 queries.