WI-Marquette: Trump in the lead

[Frenchrepublican]

So Trump is leading by a healthy margin in WI but he is losing GA ?

Are we already in 2028 ?

[Frenchrepublican]

So Trump is leading by a healthy margin in WI but he is losing GA ?

Are we already in 2028 ?

Virginia is proof states can have very rapid transitions. But I think both states are close and polls a year away aren't all that useful. Hillary was up 15 points in WI in November of 2015 according to Marquette after all. 

Well, it still took 12 years for Virginia to go from a red state (in 2004) to a blue leaning state (in 2016). 
Even in 2016 GA was still a R+7 state, even with D trends I doubt that GA will vote to the left of WI before the second half of the next decade

[Frenchrepublican]

Here’s a bold prediction: Democrats could absolutely win AZ and GA even if they lose WI. It’s a must-win state only for Republicans.

No, not really.

If Trump is winning WI then 2 of the 3 following things are happening
-Trump is doing even better than in 2016 among rural voters, but I don’t see why Trump would improve only among WI rural voters and not among Georgia rural voters. (Keep in mind that Kemp did even better among rural voters than Trump)
-black turnout is lower than expected, it would hurt democrats in WI (Milwaukee) but it would hurt democrats even more in GA
-Trump is improving his numbers in conservative exurbs, (WOW counties but also places like Forsyth and Hall counties)