Will California ever elect a Republican Governor? (user search)
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  Will California ever elect a Republican Governor? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Will California ever elect a Republican Governor?  (Read 1956 times)
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Computer89
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Posts: 44,757


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

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« on: November 17, 2019, 06:10:49 PM »

Sure :


- Liz Warren or Bernie wins in 2020 and go on an anti big tech crusade

- They get re-elected

- Their anti tech crusade causes the CA economy to crash

- A Charlie Baker Republican wins on in a 6 year itch backlash in 2026 over a Bernie /Warren Dem



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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,757


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #1 on: November 17, 2019, 06:11:45 PM »

The problem is that Republicans in California have responded to losing ground by moving to the fringe. The minority leader in the state senate once said that abortion was to blame for the drought  and a lot of the candidates at varying levels are becoming more extreme. New England has a tradition of Republicans being moderate, but that same can't be said of California. Even when Republicans were winning California, a lot of their officeholders were quite conservative. Southern California is where much of extreme conservatism was formulated.

The state votes heavily Democratic, but it still has a great deal of hardcore conservatives who are quite vocal and would not prefer someone like them over a moderate Republican.

But even if California found a moderate popular republican like Charlie Baker for example, do you honestly think that would be enough to win

It's unlikely. Look at what happened to Steve Poizner

If Poizner ran in 2014 he wins and then gets re-elected . If Baker was running as a non incumbent in 2018 , he loses
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