Louisiana Nov 16, 2019 Run-Off Election Results thread

[Bidenworth2020]

Jefferson outvoted St. Tammany, btw

[Devout Centrist]

Glad to see pro-life Dems aren't completely dead yet.

Looks like JBE will be carried to term

[Donerail]

The moment Edwards won:

https://twitter.com/ComplexSports/status/1193357832202141701

[Torrain]

Big news:
https://twitter.com/BMcM2018/status/1195912960448827392

[Brittain33]

Ouachita Parish (Monroe) where Trump held his rally:

Republican vote went from 25,380 (combined A. and R.) to 27,531 (Rispone), or up about 10%. This is about average for the state.

Democratic vote went from 15,639 to 22,994, or up about 50%. This is compared to an increase of about 20% statewide.

[SN2903]

When I'm right about 2020 I'll look like a genius

And when you’re not you’ll become a massive punchline here

I will be right . I understand politics better than anyone on here.

The 2019 governor elections are an absolute disaster for Trump and the Republicans. That's not really an arguable point.

the only thing that matters is 11.3.20

Tonight matters for redistricting after the census, and for protecting the Medicaid expansion.

I'm not against medicaid expansion

... but you support Rispone lol

how do you know ? I could care less about this race. I care about the presidential race and local and federal races in Michigan in 2020. Just cause I usually vote republican doesn't mean I'm 100 percent Republican down the line on every issue. That's the 1 percentile of voters who agree with everything their party does

[Adam Griffin]

As of 10:52 PM ET:

[SN2903]

Glad to see pro-life Dems aren't completely dead yet.

It is Louisiana lol

[Donerail]

how do you know ? I could care less about this race. I care about the presidential race and local and federal races in Michigan in 2020

So why are you here running your mouth?

[Adam Griffin]

If JBE wins, there's no doubt: the suburbs and urban areas are all that's responsible. Most of rural LA has swung 25-40 points to Rispone compared to 2015, despite JBE being a popular pro-life Democrat who gave hundreds of thousands of poor white trash healthcare and balanced the budget. Really no reason left to pander anymore...

What makes you think being pro-gun and pro-life only matters to rural voters? It's a big part of why JBE is winning in the suburbs tonight

The difference in the suburbs between 2015 and tonight is built off of a large cohort of GOP-DEM converts who didn't vote for JBE 4 years ago and who don't really care about all of that to the same extent; they're mostly post-Trump former GOP exiles. More than anything, these types are "anti-gun" in the way you look at them.

Let's also not forget that black voters are likely responsible for a hefty portion of this, considering JBE is only outperforming his 2015 margins in a handful of suburban areas (Jefferson - & Tammany by a hair).

Then why did they vote for Republicans in every other race tonight?

Because nobody knows any of those other downballot losers and no-names.

Ok, but you were literally just saying suburban voters voted for JBE because they're exiles from the GOP who have lost their connection to it.

For top-ticket and/or "polarized" races, they are Dems now effectively. Old habits die hard: plenty of examples of people who have abandoned the GOP in federal and/or top-ticket statewide campaigns who still voted GOP downballot in 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019...

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

If JBE wins, there's no doubt: the suburbs and urban areas are all that's responsible. Most of rural LA has swung 25-40 points to Rispone compared to 2015, despite JBE being a popular pro-life Democrat who gave hundreds of thousands of poor white trash healthcare and balanced the budget. Really no reason left to pander anymore...

What makes you think being pro-gun and pro-life only matters to rural voters? It's a big part of why JBE is winning in the suburbs tonight

The difference in the suburbs between 2015 and tonight is built off of a large cohort of GOP-DEM converts who didn't vote for JBE 4 years ago and who don't really care about all of that to the same extent; they're mostly post-Trump former GOP exiles. More than anything, these types are "anti-gun" in the way you look at them.

Let's also not forget that black voters are likely responsible for a hefty portion of this, considering JBE is only outperforming his 2015 margins in a handful of suburban areas (Jefferson - & Tammany by a hair).

Then why did they vote for Republicans in every other race tonight?

Because nobody knows any of those other downballot losers and no-names.

Ok, but you were literally just saying suburban voters voted for JBE because they're exiles from the GOP who have lost their connection to it.

For top-ticket and/or "polarized" races, they are Dems now. Old habits die hard: plenty of examples of people who have abandoned the GOP in federal and/or top-ticket statewide campaigns who still voted GOP downballot in 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019...

Yep. It took almost a decade for these gains to be seen downballot in Virginia. Really interesting case study in what causes the other shoe to drop in these downballot races.

[One Term Floridian]

When I'm right about 2020 I'll look like a genius

And when you’re not you’ll become a massive punchline here

I will be right . I understand politics better than anyone on here.

Arrogance like that won’t make you a lot of friends here

I don't care . I'm a successful 33 year old Male.  I don't care what Democrat hacks on the internet think of me.

[SN2903]

how do you know ? I could care less about this race. I care about the presidential race and local and federal races in Michigan in 2020

So why are you here running your mouth?

this forum needs some balance there is almost 0 objectivity. Dems turned out to be right tonight but they were saying the same crap in FL in 2016 about Broward.  Wait for Broward! It turned out to be wrong

[libertpaulian]

HE DID IT!  THE MADMAN!

[Roll Roons]

Operator won't you put me on through, I gotta send my love down to Baton Rouge...

Democrats could stand to be more like JBE.

[KaiserDave]

how do you know ? I could care less about this race. I care about the presidential race and local and federal races in Michigan in 2020

So why are you here running your mouth?

this forum needs some balance there is almost 0 objectivity. Dems turned out to be right tonight but they were saying the same crap in FL in 2016 about Broward.  Wait for Broward! It turned out to be wrong

Will you still be talking about 2016 a hundred years from now? All the very successful 33 year olds will still be ecstatic over it.

[Adam Griffin]

85% of outstanding precincts are in Orleans.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

GOP are indeed in trouble in 2020

[Bidenworth2020]

When I'm right about 2020 I'll look like a genius

And when you’re not you’ll become a massive punchline here

I will be right . I understand politics better than anyone on here.

The 2019 governor elections are an absolute disaster for Trump and the Republicans. That's not really an arguable point.

the only thing that matters is 11.3.20

Tonight matters for redistricting after the census, and for protecting the Medicaid expansion.

I'm not against medicaid expansion

... but you support Rispone lol

how do you know ? I could care less about this race. I care about the presidential race and local and federal races in Michigan in 2020

didnt seem like that earlier in the thread bro

BTW, if Edwards can build his margin to be larger than 43k, dems win the total gov 2019 vote.

[Oryxslayer]

It's kinda amazing how many split tickers there are between the Gov and the SoS in the NOLA region. Looking at Jefferson alone there are 20K, 1/6th of all total votes cast! Reminds you of the massive dropoff that occurred in KY between Beshear and every other Dem.

[libertpaulian]

WHAT A NIGHT this has been!

First, the DMR poll shows MAYOR PETE! with a mega lead. 

Second, the GOP supermajority in Louisiana is dead.

Third, JBE RE-ELECTED!

[Bojack Horseman]

Thank you Louisiana!

[538Electoral]

I don't really care JBE won anyway. He's a DINO.

[soundchaser]

JBE just jumped to 51.2%

[SN2903]

GOP are indeed in trouble in 2020

based on 1 race ? Stop it