NV-Fox News: Trump losing bigly
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 11:07:14 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  NV-Fox News: Trump losing bigly
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: NV-Fox News: Trump losing bigly  (Read 4569 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 14, 2019, 06:29:24 PM »
« edited: November 14, 2019, 06:38:20 PM by MT Treasurer »

47% Biden, 40% Trump
44% Warren, 41% Trump
47% Sanders, 40% Trump
41% Buttigieg, 41% Trump

Trump approval: 45/52 (-7)

https://www.scribd.com/document/435041220/Fox-News-Poll-Joe-Biden-November-10-13-2019
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 14, 2019, 06:30:53 PM »

Why did Fox News only poll Clinton/Rosen/Sisolak voters in Las Vegas?
Logged
YE
Moderator
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,640


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 14, 2019, 06:32:07 PM »

Pretends to be shocked.
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 14, 2019, 08:07:45 PM »

weird that bernie does so well there
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,841
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 14, 2019, 10:12:56 PM »


Casino workers in Greater Las Vegas?
Logged
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,902


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 14, 2019, 10:18:45 PM »

These numbers aren't too out of the ordinary.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,611


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 15, 2019, 12:33:07 AM »

Bernie is wining people under 45 by 28 points.
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,700
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 15, 2019, 12:59:32 AM »

Why did Fox News only poll Clinton/Rosen/Sisolak voters in Las Vegas?

It's FOX, the poll was probably only done in Spanish.
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,043


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 15, 2019, 01:00:43 AM »

Nevada is clearly Tilt R, though.
Logged
TML
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,400


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 15, 2019, 01:19:43 AM »


Tell that to Senator Joe Heck and Governor Adam Laxalt.
Logged
Beet
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,803


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 15, 2019, 01:37:50 AM »

Another poll where the Trump # is within 1 point across the board and the two Democrats with more name recognition have higher toplines than the first time candidates.

It's almost like the Democrats shouldn't overthink the electability game.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,611


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 15, 2019, 01:46:11 AM »

Another poll where the Trump # is within 1 point across the board and the two Democrats with more name recognition have higher toplines than the first time candidates.

It's almost like the Democrats shouldn't overthink the electability game.

Don't knows against Trump:
Biden 4
Bernie 4
Warren 5
Pete 6

Not a lot more room for the latter two when they are 4 and 7 points worse with their margin.
Logged
Beet
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,803


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 15, 2019, 01:51:25 AM »

Another poll where the Trump # is within 1 point across the board and the two Democrats with more name recognition have higher toplines than the first time candidates.

It's almost like the Democrats shouldn't overthink the electability game.

Don't knows against Trump:
Biden 4
Bernie 4
Warren 5
Pete 6

Not a lot more room for the latter two when they are 4 and 7 points worse with their margin.

The real don't knows aren't listed the poll because they were pushed. Those are only the people who insisted they don't know to the end. This is one of many polls that show a correlation between topline  and name recognition, with almost no variance in the Trump number.
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,468
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 15, 2019, 02:23:50 AM »

Waiting for a Tweet the numbers are fake. Obviously NV is lean/likely D and this Fox poll is more accurate than previous ones we've seen so far.
Logged
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,676
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 15, 2019, 09:05:11 AM »

How is tied with Buttigieg and within the MOE with Warren losing bigly?
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,775
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 15, 2019, 09:45:13 AM »

NV has an all female state delegation with state assembly and for Congress; as a result,  it's a D state now
Logged
LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,165
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 18, 2019, 11:07:41 AM »

Hmm, Sanders does well because the state is heavily unionized, so does Warren. I think NV will vote Democratic and by a margin of 5 probably, unless Buttigieg or Harris are the nominees.
Logged
Libertas Vel Mors
Haley/Ryan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,871
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -0.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 19, 2019, 07:20:42 PM »


unironically yes
Logged
KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,587
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 19, 2019, 07:21:56 PM »


Why do you choose to die on this pathetic hill?


Regardless, Likely D.
Logged
Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,019


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -3.13

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 21, 2019, 10:32:12 AM »

NV won't be in play for Trump.
Logged
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,610
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 21, 2019, 11:35:47 AM »

How is tied with Buttigieg and within the MOE with Warren losing bigly?
Nevada polls overestimate Republicans.
Logged
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,676
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 21, 2019, 06:35:53 PM »

How is tied with Buttigieg and within the MOE with Warren losing bigly?
Nevada polls overestimate Republicans.

The #s still aren't bad for Trump esp since there is not a nominee yet and no binary  choice.
Logged
Jamison5
Rookie
**
Posts: 126


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: November 22, 2019, 03:24:24 AM »


Tell that to Senator Joe Heck and Governor Adam Laxalt.

His point is that Nevada is trending red. It was D+5 in 2008, D+3 in 2012, and D+0 in 2016. The senate and governor elections in 2018 were around R+4. Nevada is one of several states that trended blue between 2000 and 2008 and is trending back to red. Trump had 48% approval in the 2018 exit poll, which is a very good sign for Trump's chances in Nevada.
Logged
Jamison5
Rookie
**
Posts: 126


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: November 22, 2019, 03:27:12 AM »

How is tied with Buttigieg and within the MOE with Warren losing bigly?
Nevada polls overestimate Republicans.


The polls in Nevada do generally overestimate Republicans, however, it is well established that Fox News polls drastically oversample Democrats and undersample Independents. Based on the sampling, this shows Trump narrowly winning Nevada.
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,043


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: November 22, 2019, 02:51:31 PM »
« Edited: November 22, 2019, 02:56:44 PM by gracile »


Tell that to Senator Joe Heck and Governor Adam Laxalt.

His point is that Nevada is trending red. It was D+5 in 2008, D+3 in 2012, and D+0 in 2016. The senate and governor elections in 2018 were around R+4. Nevada is one of several states that trended blue between 2000 and 2008 and is trending back to red. Trump had 48% approval in the 2018 exit poll, which is a very good sign for Trump's chances in Nevada.

I was being sarcastic.

And no, these polls don't show that Trump is winning Nevada no matter how much you try to unskew them.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.065 seconds with 13 queries.