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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE, ON Progressive)
  NV-Fox News: Trump losing bigly
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Author Topic: NV-Fox News: Trump losing bigly  (Read 3158 times)
Daines' Bipartisan Bills
IndyRep
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« on: November 14, 2019, 06:29:24 pm »
« edited: November 14, 2019, 06:38:20 pm by MT Treasurer »

47% Biden, 40% Trump
44% Warren, 41% Trump
47% Sanders, 40% Trump
41% Buttigieg, 41% Trump

Trump approval: 45/52 (-7)

https://www.scribd.com/document/435041220/Fox-News-Poll-Joe-Biden-November-10-13-2019
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Xing
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« Reply #1 on: November 14, 2019, 06:30:53 pm »

Why did Fox News only poll Clinton/Rosen/Sisolak voters in Las Vegas?
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YE
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« Reply #2 on: November 14, 2019, 06:32:07 pm »

Pretends to be shocked.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #3 on: November 14, 2019, 08:07:45 pm »

weird that bernie does so well there
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4 on: November 14, 2019, 10:12:56 pm »


Casino workers in Greater Las Vegas?
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marty
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« Reply #5 on: November 14, 2019, 10:18:45 pm »

These numbers aren't too out of the ordinary.
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« Reply #6 on: November 15, 2019, 12:33:07 am »

Bernie is wining people under 45 by 28 points.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #7 on: November 15, 2019, 12:59:32 am »

Why did Fox News only poll Clinton/Rosen/Sisolak voters in Las Vegas?

It's FOX, the poll was probably only done in Spanish.
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gracile
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« Reply #8 on: November 15, 2019, 01:00:43 am »

Nevada is clearly Tilt R, though.
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TML
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« Reply #9 on: November 15, 2019, 01:19:43 am »


Tell that to Senator Joe Heck and Governor Adam Laxalt.
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Beet
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« Reply #10 on: November 15, 2019, 01:37:50 am »

Another poll where the Trump # is within 1 point across the board and the two Democrats with more name recognition have higher toplines than the first time candidates.

It's almost like the Democrats shouldn't overthink the electability game.
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jfern
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« Reply #11 on: November 15, 2019, 01:46:11 am »

Another poll where the Trump # is within 1 point across the board and the two Democrats with more name recognition have higher toplines than the first time candidates.

It's almost like the Democrats shouldn't overthink the electability game.

Don't knows against Trump:
Biden 4
Bernie 4
Warren 5
Pete 6

Not a lot more room for the latter two when they are 4 and 7 points worse with their margin.
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Beet
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« Reply #12 on: November 15, 2019, 01:51:25 am »

Another poll where the Trump # is within 1 point across the board and the two Democrats with more name recognition have higher toplines than the first time candidates.

It's almost like the Democrats shouldn't overthink the electability game.

Don't knows against Trump:
Biden 4
Bernie 4
Warren 5
Pete 6

Not a lot more room for the latter two when they are 4 and 7 points worse with their margin.

The real don't knows aren't listed the poll because they were pushed. Those are only the people who insisted they don't know to the end. This is one of many polls that show a correlation between topline  and name recognition, with almost no variance in the Trump number.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #13 on: November 15, 2019, 02:23:50 am »

Waiting for a Tweet the numbers are fake. Obviously NV is lean/likely D and this Fox poll is more accurate than previous ones we've seen so far.
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SN2903
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« Reply #14 on: November 15, 2019, 09:05:11 am »

How is tied with Buttigieg and within the MOE with Warren losing bigly?
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #15 on: November 15, 2019, 09:45:13 am »

NV has an all female state delegation with state assembly and for Congress; as a result,  it's a D state now
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Laki
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« Reply #16 on: November 18, 2019, 11:07:41 am »

Hmm, Sanders does well because the state is heavily unionized, so does Warren. I think NV will vote Democratic and by a margin of 5 probably, unless Buttigieg or Harris are the nominees.
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Sen. Mark Meadows
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« Reply #17 on: November 19, 2019, 07:20:42 pm »


unironically yes
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #18 on: November 19, 2019, 07:21:56 pm »


Why do you choose to die on this pathetic hill?


Regardless, Likely D.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #19 on: November 21, 2019, 10:32:12 am »

NV won't be in play for Trump.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #20 on: November 21, 2019, 11:35:47 am »

How is tied with Buttigieg and within the MOE with Warren losing bigly?
Nevada polls overestimate Republicans.
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SN2903
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« Reply #21 on: November 21, 2019, 06:35:53 pm »

How is tied with Buttigieg and within the MOE with Warren losing bigly?
Nevada polls overestimate Republicans.

The #s still aren't bad for Trump esp since there is not a nominee yet and no binary  choice.
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Jamison5
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« Reply #22 on: November 22, 2019, 03:24:24 am »


Tell that to Senator Joe Heck and Governor Adam Laxalt.

His point is that Nevada is trending red. It was D+5 in 2008, D+3 in 2012, and D+0 in 2016. The senate and governor elections in 2018 were around R+4. Nevada is one of several states that trended blue between 2000 and 2008 and is trending back to red. Trump had 48% approval in the 2018 exit poll, which is a very good sign for Trump's chances in Nevada.
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Jamison5
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« Reply #23 on: November 22, 2019, 03:27:12 am »

How is tied with Buttigieg and within the MOE with Warren losing bigly?
Nevada polls overestimate Republicans.


The polls in Nevada do generally overestimate Republicans, however, it is well established that Fox News polls drastically oversample Democrats and undersample Independents. Based on the sampling, this shows Trump narrowly winning Nevada.
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gracile
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« Reply #24 on: November 22, 2019, 02:51:31 pm »
« Edited: November 22, 2019, 02:56:44 pm by gracile »


Tell that to Senator Joe Heck and Governor Adam Laxalt.

His point is that Nevada is trending red. It was D+5 in 2008, D+3 in 2012, and D+0 in 2016. The senate and governor elections in 2018 were around R+4. Nevada is one of several states that trended blue between 2000 and 2008 and is trending back to red. Trump had 48% approval in the 2018 exit poll, which is a very good sign for Trump's chances in Nevada.

I was being sarcastic.

And no, these polls don't show that Trump is winning Nevada no matter how much you try to unskew them.
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