2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Virginia (user search)
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  2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Virginia (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Virginia  (Read 57986 times)
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« on: March 15, 2020, 11:08:50 AM »

I doubt that the every GOP justice would want to throw away their credibility, future, and gravitas for the congressional GOP. And before anyone says "of course they will, they're GOP justices!", we've already seen Republican justices go against the party when it comes to gerrymandering all the time, from NC to OH to PA.

Whats more likely is just a rather bland, fair-ish map. Its not the gerrymander that the Dems could have made, but its at least a bit more kind to the Democrats than the current map.
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #1 on: March 15, 2020, 11:27:40 AM »

I doubt that the every GOP justice would want to throw away their credibility, future, and gravitas for the congressional GOP. And before anyone says "of course they will, they're GOP justices!", we've already seen Republican justices go against the party when it comes to gerrymandering all the time, from NC to OH to PA.

Whats more likely is just a rather bland, fair-ish map. Its not the gerrymander that the Dems could have made, but its at least a bit more kind to the Democrats than the current map.

In NC the case was decided on partisan lines and in PA it was one D judge joining the 2 Republican judges.

I was referring to all of the court cases that have dealt with gerrymandering, such as ones that have faced superior courts, not just the ones that the supreme courts of each state have faced.
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #2 on: November 26, 2020, 05:30:38 PM »

There's really no evidence that the VA court, which while R has been shown to be rather lackluster in terms of ideological and partisan commitment, will go out of their way to gerrymander VA. What's almost certainly more likely is just the same process that occurred in PA and NC: the court will hire a special master which will draw a roughly fair map.

This kind of panicking over basically nothing is not helpful, especially when said panicking is completely disconnected from reality.
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