2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Virginia

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Dems better pack the court so they draw an 8-3 map.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

What are Lurias chances lfromnj?
Will she get screwed over by the new law?

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Hot take coming, but I anticipate whatever the commission draws is going to get tossed out if the GOP doesn't like it, if they get a bad map, they'll take their chances with a 5-1 R court, which is probably a smart gamble from their perspective.

(shaded by 2016 presidential data)
Which of the following does this look like? D gerrymander, R gerrymander, competitive-mander (gerrymander designed to produce competitive seats), fair-proportional map, fair-non-partisan map.

little bit of everything, compact in Fairfax, R gerrymander in NoVA and D gerrymander in Richmond and the Hampton Roads area. Also I wonder if that Newport News seat is VRA compliant.

For the record the VA supreme court is composed by 4 republicans and 3 democrats. One of the republicans (Mims) have very good relations with the dems

Interesting, so it's not actually a foregone conclusion they will just pick the R map?

Yeah I think it'll be an r leaning map but not something egregious

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Don't get too excited folks, I still expect 5-5-1

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

What's the partisan makeup?

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

DRA?