McGarnagle
SomethingPolitical
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,613
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« on: November 04, 2019, 03:47:00 PM » |
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These polls don't look rosy, but I'm not about to start worrying until I see more data come out over the coming months. Election Day is still a year away.
This is reputable pollster - but at this juncture, it is still an outlier too. We will need more data, closer to the election, to make a more reliable projection.
At this point in 2015, how much was Hillary leading Trump in these states? By 6? By 8? By 10?
My point is, a lot can happen over the course of a year, and if Democrats won firm majorities in WI, MI and PA in 2018, they could do it again in 2020, regardless of what a single poll 364 days before the fact says.
That isn't to say this poll is junk, but it is to say that if you're a Democrat and you're worried the sky is falling based off the poll, you're basing that assumption on incomplete information well before the fact.
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