NYT/Siena Polls of 6 Battleground States (user search)
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  NYT/Siena Polls of 6 Battleground States (search mode)
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Author Topic: NYT/Siena Polls of 6 Battleground States  (Read 13489 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: November 04, 2019, 09:05:38 AM »

Looks like were are back to 278, but AZ numbers are misleading
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2019, 09:37:58 AM »

Why didnt they poll AZ Senate? It would of been nice. If Biden is leading in FL, he isnt tied with Trump in MI
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2019, 01:42:39 PM »

MI numbers are unrealistic,  since he leads in AZ and FL, he cant be tied in MI and NV
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2019, 01:46:25 PM »

MI numbers are unrealistic,  since he leads in AZ and FL, he cant be tied in MI and NV
They are unrealistic cause you don't like them? There is so much evidence pointing to Michigan being to the right of PA right now.

Biden leads by 6 in the other poll in MI and NV polling had Laxalt beating Sisolak in 2018. House effect in NV polling
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2019, 10:22:52 PM »

Im not gonna pick apart Siena, especially after 2018. Its not surprising that Trump is holding up better in the midwest compared to the other regions of the country.

I also wished they polled his job approvals. He was at 45/54 in 2018 exit polls, that seems about where he still is in these states too. Maybe a few points better than that.




In the swing states in the 2018 exit polls he was at 51% approval in Florida, 50% in Arizona, 48% in Wisconsin and 45% in Pennsylvania & Michigan.

Yeah, Democrats should not count on FL
[/quote


Trump only won FL in 2016 due to Rubio being on ballot. Ms. GRAHAM would have run a more competitive race against DeSantis than Guillium. If he runs again in 2022, with Rubio on ballot, he will lose again
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