KY, MS etc. Results Thread

[Oryxslayer]

Lets not forget that the GOP have won or are close to winning every other statewide race. Beshear got a whole bunch of crossovers and Bevin was uniquely unpopular.

[Mr. Smith]

Is it me, or was Espy in better shape at this point in the runoff last year?

[Crumpets]

Here's my takeaway from this election: sometimes you just have to look at the polls on Wikipedia to get a sense of where the race is.

[Tintrlvr]

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1191894751844454401

The results so far in Virginia look rather disappointing compared to expectations. It looks like the Democrats will take control of both chambers but only by 2-3 seats each instead of the wider margins expected.

[adma]

One potentially interesting result to wait on in eastern Kentucky: Rowan County is the only eastern Kentucky county not reporting anything yet. It was by far Clinton's best county in eastern Kentucky in 2016; she held on to 37% of the vote there. But it's not typically especially Democratic, voting for Conway only narrowly over Bevin, 49-46, in 2015.

Edit: It's also the home of the infamous Kim Davis.

I asked about this before, and given what we are seeing now, Beshear will definitely win Rowan.

I'm sure he wins Rowan; it's more of a question of whether it will continue its 2016 pattern of being the strongest Dem county in eastern Kentucky or will it fall back in line with historical patterns. I'm not sure at all why Clinton did so much better (/less badly) there than elsewhere in eastern Kentucky.

Edit: And it's in, Beshear wins 58% so less than Elliott but still solidly Democratic.

Rowan's a college county, right?

I don't think so.

Are you thinking of Rowan U? That not far from me here in Philly.

I'm thinking of Morehead State University.

[libertpaulian]

Beshear winning will be worth it just to see Al Mohler have the sadz.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Guys, it's 97% in on CNN, with Jefferson at 96%, and Beshear still has a 0.7% lead. At worst this falls into recount margin. Relax.

[Nyvin]

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1191894751844454401

The results so far in Virginia look rather disappointing compared to expectations. It looks like the Democrats will take control of both chambers but only by 2-3 seats each instead of the wider margins expected.

Looking like the Democrats are sucking in the Hampton Roads/VA Beach areas, but Richmond/NOVA will give them slim majorities.

[Cinemark]

And still a chunk of Louisville left too.

[Pericles]

Remember the VA counting bias.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MS looks close

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Well, this is disappointing.  I really liked Bevin (but apparently I was the only one).  Kentucky has still never re-elected a Republican governor.

[Xing]

Well, speaking as someone who really didn't think it was possible for Beshear to win, I'll eat some humble pie. I was dead wrong about this race, and I'm thrilled that (it looks like) Kentucky gave Bevin the boot. People can quote my old posts and laugh at them to their heart's content. I deserve it. Congrats to the people who predicted Beshear would win, and I'll remember this when making predictions in the future.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Bevin might actually still win.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Beshear's lead is slipping. It might go to a recount...or worse.

[Tintrlvr]

One potentially interesting result to wait on in eastern Kentucky: Rowan County is the only eastern Kentucky county not reporting anything yet. It was by far Clinton's best county in eastern Kentucky in 2016; she held on to 37% of the vote there. But it's not typically especially Democratic, voting for Conway only narrowly over Bevin, 49-46, in 2015.

Edit: It's also the home of the infamous Kim Davis.

I asked about this before, and given what we are seeing now, Beshear will definitely win Rowan.

I'm sure he wins Rowan; it's more of a question of whether it will continue its 2016 pattern of being the strongest Dem county in eastern Kentucky or will it fall back in line with historical patterns. I'm not sure at all why Clinton did so much better (/less badly) there than elsewhere in eastern Kentucky.

Edit: And it's in, Beshear wins 58% so less than Elliott but still solidly Democratic.

Rowan's a college county, right?

I don't think so.

Are you thinking of Rowan U? That not far from me here in Philly.

I'm thinking of Morehead State University.

Ah, you're right.

[BP🌹]

Guys, it's 97% in on CNN, with Jefferson at 96%, and Beshear still has a 0.7% lead. At worst this falls into recount margin. Relax.

When have I heard this before?

[Crumpets]

Well, speaking as someone who really didn't think it was possible for Beshear to win, I'll eat some humble pie. I was desd wrong about this race, and I'm thrilled that (it looks like) Kentucky gave Bevin the boot. People can quote my old posts and laugh at them to their heart's content. I deserve it. Congrats to the people who predicted Beshear would win, and I'll remember this when making predictions in the future.

I eagerly await Red Eagle Politics's video on how Atlas got this election wrong.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Guys, it's 97% in on CNN, with Jefferson at 96%, and Beshear still has a 0.7% lead. At worst this falls into recount margin. Relax.

When have I heard this before?

I don't know, when have you? Literally a greater percentage of Jefferson is still out than of the rest of the state.

[Person Man]

Guys, it's 97% in on CNN, with Jefferson at 96%, and Beshear still has a 0.7% lead. At worst this falls into recount margin. Relax.

When have I heard this before?

He’s back up to .9% with 99% reporting. Looks like Atlas got cucked on this.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Well, speaking as someone who really didn't think it was possible for Beshear to win, I'll eat some humble pie. I was desd wrong about this race, and I'm thrilled that (it looks like) Kentucky gave Bevin the boot. People can quote my old posts and laugh at them to their heart's content. I deserve it. Congrats to the people who predicted Beshear would win, and I'll remember this when making predictions in the future.

I eagerly await Red Eagle Politics's video on how Atlas got this election wrong.

Louisville dumped and Beshear is back over 10k votes with 99% in

[BP🌹]

Guys, it's 97% in on CNN, with Jefferson at 96%, and Beshear still has a 0.7% lead. At worst this falls into recount margin. Relax.

When have I heard this before?

I don't know, when have you? Literally a greater percentage of Jefferson is still out than of the rest of the state.

I've heard things like that before when a Democrat is narrowly ahead with a few precincts out. The Republican usually ends up winning.

[libertpaulian]

I wonder if provisionals can help stave off a recount.

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/MononaBayGroup/status/1191897608031260678

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Guys, it's 97% in on CNN, with Jefferson at 96%, and Beshear still has a 0.7% lead. At worst this falls into recount margin. Relax.

When have I heard this before?

I don't know, when have you? Literally a greater percentage of Jefferson is still out than of the rest of the state.

Beshear is going to win, but there are Republican leaning parts of Jefferson County that they could theoretically be.  Not that Bevin has enough votes regardless.