KY, MS etc. Results Thread
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  KY, MS etc. Results Thread
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Author Topic: KY, MS etc. Results Thread  (Read 46995 times)
jamestroll
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« Reply #150 on: November 05, 2019, 07:17:38 PM »

Half of Campbell in.. Beshear lost it in 2015 barely and Bevin easily won there.

Beshear is currently leading by 19 points.
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Lisa's voting Biden
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« Reply #151 on: November 05, 2019, 07:18:04 PM »

First VA results in. Democrats currently winning 10 senate seats, Republicans have 1.

For the House, Democrats currently winning 23, with Republicans winning 7.
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
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« Reply #152 on: November 05, 2019, 07:19:06 PM »

It doesn't look good for Beshear right now.

Is it still too early to tell or is this a good indication right now?
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #153 on: November 05, 2019, 07:19:17 PM »

Half of Campbell in.. Beshear lost it in 2015 barely and Bevin easily won there.

Beshear is currently leading by 19 points.

WHAT?!?!?!?!?!

In CAMPBELL COUNTY?!?!?!
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Crumpets
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« Reply #154 on: November 05, 2019, 07:19:23 PM »

First VA results in. Democrats currently winning 10 senate seats, Republicans have 1.

For the House, Democrats currently winning 23, with Republicans winning 7.

Given the Republican counting bias of Virginia, I think it's safe to say Democrats will be winning by North Korea-level margins in both houses. Tongue
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Cinemark
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« Reply #155 on: November 05, 2019, 07:19:31 PM »

Not a clue whats going on but its certainly exciting to watch.
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #156 on: November 05, 2019, 07:19:37 PM »

Gun to my head, Bevin by 2. Fingers crossed that I'm wrong.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #157 on: November 05, 2019, 07:19:39 PM »

It doesn't look good for Beshear right now.

Is it still too early to tell or is this a good indication right now?

Too early to tell.  Bevin is beating his benchmarks in some places, Beshear in others.
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BP🌹
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« Reply #158 on: November 05, 2019, 07:19:50 PM »

The Trump 2016 margin is far more relevant than anything from 2015.
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morgieb
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« Reply #159 on: November 05, 2019, 07:20:26 PM »

It doesn't look good for Beshear right now.

Is it still too early to tell or is this a good indication right now?
Definitely too early to tell, and right now I'm calling it as a nailbiter. If I had to pick a winner I might say Bevin, but jeez, those Campbell/Kenton results.....
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bilaps
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« Reply #160 on: November 05, 2019, 07:20:41 PM »

CNN has now changed Fayette from 45% to 5%. That's a good sign for Beshear.
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MichaelRbn
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« Reply #161 on: November 05, 2019, 07:20:54 PM »

Those Virginia seats called are all the uncontested seats.
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swf541
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« Reply #162 on: November 05, 2019, 07:20:56 PM »

Worth noting CNN has considerably less votes count in Jefferson and Fayette then other sites
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #163 on: November 05, 2019, 07:21:08 PM »

First VA results in. Democrats currently winning 10 senate seats, Republicans have 1.

For the House, Democrats currently winning 23, with Republicans winning 7.

These are just the unopposed races.
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #164 on: November 05, 2019, 07:21:13 PM »

Democrats are winning Virginia rn, but almost all fo that is from uncontested races. Expect it to go down to the wire.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #165 on: November 05, 2019, 07:21:33 PM »

It doesn't look good for Beshear right now.

Is it still too early to tell or is this a good indication right now?

Beshear is hitting is targets in most places.

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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #166 on: November 05, 2019, 07:21:39 PM »

Anderson county fully in, Bevin with 15% margin, the same like in 2015 but with almost 3k more votes cast.

The result CNN is reporting would mean more than 50% of the population of Anderson County (including those under 18 and those otherwise not eligible or registered) voted. I think this is an error. My guess is that they entered the result twice, so you should halve everyone's votes.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #167 on: November 05, 2019, 07:21:57 PM »

Kenton has barely flipped in the Treasurers contest. But barely.. All races except Governor and Secretary of State can reasonably be called for the GOP now.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #168 on: November 05, 2019, 07:22:13 PM »

The problem for Bevin is that he’s underperforming his 2015 numbers in several rural counties. This is going to be very close.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #169 on: November 05, 2019, 07:23:13 PM »





Remember there is a big difference in Benchmarks vs 2015. Bevin was going to do better in trump turf, and Beshear in Urban areas, which is what the models are for. So far most models tilt towards Beshear...but the urban areas may screw him if there isn't enough turnout.

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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #170 on: November 05, 2019, 07:23:18 PM »

PROJECTIONS: QUARLES holds Ag Commissioner, HARMON holds Auditor, BALL holds Treasurer
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Crumpets
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« Reply #171 on: November 05, 2019, 07:23:51 PM »

Bevin has COLLAPSED by about 1% in the NYT count with the latest ballot dump. Now at 50.6% to Beshear's 47.3%.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #172 on: November 05, 2019, 07:24:41 PM »

Any reason why cnn has such different results from everyone else?
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Pericles
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« Reply #173 on: November 05, 2019, 07:24:45 PM »

Crazy results in Kentucky, probably enough is in to make a strong Bevin win unlikely.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #174 on: November 05, 2019, 07:25:12 PM »

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