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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections
  2020 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  MI (Emerson) Peters +6
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Author Topic: MI (Emerson) Peters +6  (Read 528 times)
LCameronOR
LCameronAL
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« on: November 03, 2019, 07:23:50 pm »

Peters - 46%
James - 40%

Conducted 10/31-11/3, 1051 RV, +/- 3%
https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/michigan-2020-democrats-aim-to-take-back-the-state
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2019, 07:26:20 pm »

This also has Trump down 8-14 points. Itís of course early, but I really donít think Peters will outperform the Democratic nominee significantly, and I wouldnít be that surprised if James did 1-2% better than Trump (whether that is enough is a different question).
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2019, 08:15:55 pm »

This also has Trump down 8-14 points. Itís of course early, but I really donít think Peters will outperform the Democratic nominee significantly, and I wouldnít be that surprised if James did 1-2% better than Trump (whether that is enough is a different question).

Yes, Peters trailing Trump and being up only mid single digits is not where he needs to be when all Michigan polling in the Trump era has had a 2-4% Dem bias. 

That having been said, I don't think MI will be very close in 2020.  I expect it will either be all R's win by 5ish or all D's win by 5ish. 
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SN2903
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2019, 07:21:20 pm »
« Edited: November 04, 2019, 07:43:42 pm by SN2903 »

James is probably slightly ahead if Michigan is dead even with Trump being tied with Bernie and Biden in the Sienna NY times poll
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Horus
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2019, 07:27:19 pm »

This is giving me Florida 2018 vibes.
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SN2903
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« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2019, 07:43:47 pm »

This is giving me Florida 2018 vibes.
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