How will Beshear do in Elliot County?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Do people seriously think Beshear will underperform the no name some guy who ran against Hal Rogers in 2018 and got about 20% district wide? Because some are predicting him getting less than 46%.

If 46% is Beshear's absolute floor, it's not hard to see him winning it against someone who will definitely significantly underrun Rogers.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Do people seriously think Beshear will underperform the no name some guy who ran against Hal Rogers in 2018 and got about 20% district wide? Because some are predicting him getting less than 46%.

If 46% is Beshear's absolute floor, it's not hard to see him winning it against someone who will definitely significantly underrun Rogers.

Yes.

Hit me up after tomorrow and we’ll see who’s right.

Reasoning?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Ahahhahahahhahahhahaha

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I genuinely think Elliot County will vote to the right of the state at large. I'm thinking it will by 5-10%.

Quote me on this after Tuesday.

BOOM

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

The most important County for Beshear tomorrow will be Jefferson County. He needs to win that 58-42 or something like that to have a chance maybe even higher.

He needs to get 65%+ to have a chance. He'll probably get >60%, but not the 65-67% that he needs.

He probably needs 70%+ to even get within single digits statewide. KY is more rural than TN, and Bredesen getting 70% in Nashville was only enough to get to 43% of the state vote.