North Carolina 2020 Redistricting

[nclib]

Most of these new CDs are fair. The only exception are 7, 8, and 9 being at least Likely R, as opposed to a CD combining Fayetteville, Lumberton, and Wilmington into 1 or 2 districts, which could have produced at least a tossup CD.

[nclib]

So David Price is retiring. Wonder if the Republicans will try to draw out his district to prevent another Dem from winning there

Wow. I live in NC-4. Just saw this here first.

I don't think this will change the make-up of the new NC-4.

[nclib]

No it is pretty much given now that the goal is to just remove the 3 rural/exurban counties attached to this district and add a few ten thousand more from Wake. That is the one constant in all the maps that has happened in that it is just Durham + OC.

The current NC-4 doesn't have that. That was a previous NC-4 earlier in the decade.

[nclib]

No it is pretty much given now that the goal is to just remove the 3 rural/exurban counties attached to this district and add a few ten thousand more from Wake. That is the one constant in all the maps that has happened in that it is just Durham + OC.

The current NC-4 doesn't have that. That was a previous NC-4 earlier in the decade.

It has Granville/Franklin and the Eastern part of Chatham.

Sorry. I knew that, but hadn't really thought about Granville/Franklin as that was just added, and not really culturally similar, though eastern Chatham is definitely part of the Chapel Hill area.

[nclib]

All on the line NC says there is a map that seems to be 12-2. Obviously that would violate the VRA and/or be a dummymander, but what would that even look like?

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1449037318757752834.html

[nclib]

Trying to figure out the renumbering and where each congressperson will run:

NC-1: old NC-3 Murphy
NC-2: old NC-1 Butterfield
NC-3: old NC-7 Rouzer
NC-5: old NC-2 Ross
NC-6: old NC-4 Price's replacement
NC-9: old NC-12 Adams
NC-13: new district NC House speaker Tim Moore will run
NC-14: old NC-11 Cawthorn

any guesses on the others?

[nclib]

Wow. This must be really new news. I'm real-life friends with Jasmine Beach-Ferrara (D candidate in NC-14) and I haven't heard from her campaign about this yet.

[nclib]

Great news! Dumb (but not surprising) for the GOP to try to pass a map just as partisan as the map that was rejected for use in the 2020 election.

I think this is an authentic 8-7 map,  the courts would probably like it.

I don't think the courts will allow an 8-7 map.

[nclib]

I wasn't sure if the post about Wasserman that you just deleted, was serious or not.

[nclib]

Mainly a good map, but I really don't like the 9th, especially if I am in it (I'm in Chapel Hill).

[nclib]

If this is the map, it's an improvement over the map that was struck down, but it's not the map we should be getting. Yes, it has more competitive districts, but there's a decent chance it could go 10-4 in 2022, and a non-negligible chance for 11-3.

[nclib]

What are the links to the other maps?