North Carolina 2020 Redistricting
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Author Topic: North Carolina 2020 Redistricting  (Read 86752 times)
nclib
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« Reply #1225 on: February 18, 2022, 07:29:19 PM »

If this is the map, it's an improvement over the map that was struck down, but it's not the map we should be getting. Yes, it has more competitive districts, but there's a decent chance it could go 10-4 in 2022, and a non-negligible chance for 11-3.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #1226 on: February 18, 2022, 07:39:05 PM »

I bet they pick Ben Clark's map 4-3
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BoiseBoy
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« Reply #1227 on: February 18, 2022, 07:40:34 PM »

That one is the best of the three, although I preferred CST-10 over CST-8.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #1228 on: February 18, 2022, 07:43:18 PM »

That one is the best of the three, although I preferred CST-10 over CST-8.
That Durham split Purple heart(I know it's not a good COI but it helps us out in the south wake seat lol)
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leecannon
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« Reply #1229 on: February 18, 2022, 08:12:18 PM »

Honestly none of these are ones that I want. The Fayetteville district in the NCLCV is almost exactly how I would have it, but it makes the 2nd from being more rural to a weird suburban collar that combines the most democratic parts of the area with the most republican. The S738 option has a good compact east Charlotte suburbs, but keeps the Johnston-New Brunswick snake. While S745 has a weird  Cumberland-New Brunswick seat, puts Cary and Winston-Salem with blood red rurals, but has a very good north rural black seat.

All in all I’m just confused
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nclib
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« Reply #1230 on: February 18, 2022, 08:44:14 PM »

What are the links to the other maps?
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #1231 on: February 19, 2022, 06:04:18 AM »

What are the links to the other maps?

CST-8 seems to be this one. Can't find anything about the LCV map.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #1232 on: February 19, 2022, 08:09:53 AM »

Can someone tell me the breakdown of the 3 maps?

NC should be having a map that is

Ideally this would be something like a 6-5 GOP with 3 dead tossups (within 3 points)

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lfromnj
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« Reply #1233 on: February 19, 2022, 07:34:54 PM »



Wow district 6 is actually a Obama -Trump-Trump district.
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leecannon
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« Reply #1234 on: February 19, 2022, 08:22:29 PM »



Wow district 6 is actually a Obama -Trump-Trump district.

I know they’re trying to maximize republican seats under a lot of restrictions, but this could end up a dummymander with 14, 6, 13, 7, and even 8, 5, or 11 flipping with the way they’re trending. Imagine republicans ending up with 3 seats lol
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Virginiá
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« Reply #1235 on: February 19, 2022, 08:45:34 PM »

I know they’re trying to maximize republican seats under a lot of restrictions, but this could end up a dummymander with 14, 6, 13, 7, and even 8, 5, or 11 flipping with the way they’re trending. Imagine republicans ending up with 3 seats lol

Just going by the numbers, it's not the worst, but it's pretty clear that this map is meant to deliver Republicans as many seats as possible for 2022 (expected to be quite R-favorable), and then be redrawn after, probably back to their original gerrymander should they flip the state supreme court. Quite a lot riding on that majority.
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Vern
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« Reply #1236 on: February 21, 2022, 07:31:37 PM »

I wonder if we hear something tomorrow or Wednesday about the maps.
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BoiseBoy
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« Reply #1237 on: February 21, 2022, 07:37:24 PM »

I wonder if we hear something tomorrow or Wednesday about the maps.
The decision has to be made by the 23rd and I anticipate we will hear on that day.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1238 on: February 23, 2022, 12:23:28 PM »



I think some of these seats qualify as needlessly complex for a easily reachable outcome. Also, two D seats in Charlotte.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #1239 on: February 23, 2022, 12:26:53 PM »

I'm a bit surprised to see Mecklenberg split in 2 like that.
Also, numbers on that NC-01?
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #1240 on: February 23, 2022, 12:29:19 PM »

Is this the final map or does it go to the full SC now?
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1241 on: February 23, 2022, 12:33:59 PM »

Are both Charlotte seats safe Dem?
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GALeftist
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« Reply #1242 on: February 23, 2022, 12:35:35 PM »

Seems like an OK map. It's a shame it's not long for this world. However I will definitely take the W on the state legislative maps
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BoiseBoy
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« Reply #1243 on: February 23, 2022, 12:35:40 PM »

Is this the final map or does it go to the full SC now?
This was just the 3 judge panel. SC has not ruled yet.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #1244 on: February 23, 2022, 12:38:10 PM »

Is this the final map or does it go to the full SC now?
This was just the 3 judge panel. SC has not ruled yet.

I see. Hopefully the SC will clean it up a bit because boy this is a mess.

I'm not sure about the partisanship (although it does look like it has 5 solid D seats and a few competitive ones, which is nice), but just in terms of COIs something isn't right.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1245 on: February 23, 2022, 12:39:03 PM »
« Edited: February 23, 2022, 12:44:49 PM by lfromnj »

Is this the final map or does it go to the full SC now?
This was just the 3 judge panel. SC has not ruled yet.

I see. Hopefully the SC will clean it up a bit because boy this is a mess.

I'm not sure about the partisanship (although it does look like it has 5 solid D seats and a few competitive ones, which is nice), but just in terms of COIs something isn't right.

I mean if COI's are just going to be disregarded the GOP map still is pretty damn close to partisan fairness while having more competitive seats(on both sides not like Ohio) Yes it is 9 Seats but 2 of those are literally within 1 point. Im not actually sure why this is being done especially considering the state senate maps were accepted which although pretty decent on COI grounds aren't really fair on partisan fairness.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1246 on: February 23, 2022, 12:43:27 PM »


Both look to be double digit Biden.

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Gass3268
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« Reply #1247 on: February 23, 2022, 12:47:40 PM »

Probably will be 8-6, but could be 7-7.

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Peebs
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« Reply #1248 on: February 23, 2022, 12:47:59 PM »

If these maps stay, I want Jeff Jackson to run for NC-14. I know he's been wanting to be with his family as of late, but I just think he's neat.
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Horus
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« Reply #1249 on: February 23, 2022, 12:48:12 PM »

Alma Adams may not like that configuration as it appears to split the most heavily Black parts of Mecklenburg.
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