I assume Ross would also have the strong advantage against Nickel.
Might depend on how the new seat is drawn? If they drew it towards the south of Wake County to be akin to the 2021-23 2nd district, it’d probably contain more of Nickel’s base than Ross’s.
Back then then Wake + Durham+ Orange wasn't even 2 full seats and you could still add 3 fairly medium sized rurals/exurban counties. Now Orange + Wake+Durham has a spare 100k along with 2 seats to begin with with and if you leave the northern portion of the county open you ruin the GOP opportunity for the black seat. Instead of having a clearly R trending swing seat you now have a mix trending seat. The south can easily be bared with either rurals far to the west or just make a hodgepodge of the Research triangle exurbs with the remaining 100k of Wake.