Targoz Market Research: Reeves +1, Beshear +19 (lol)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

KY likely R by Icespear, nah, its Tilt D

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Obvious junk is obvious.

If it said +9, I'd say Bevin still had a chance. But +19? No.

Bye, Matt. Andy.

I believe you meant to say "Bayh-Bayh, Andy"

It's not junk, its an on-line poll. But, it its true, Beshear wins by 2, it wont matter what margin is. But, Bevin is not inevitable, endangered in losing his seat

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Even if Beshear wins, this will probably still be an inaccurate poll lol.

House effect due it being an online poll 51/49 Beshear

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I thought Icespear was a PA red avatar, he has changed party stripes and insisted Bevin is inevitable and Bevin has the worst approvals of an incumbent gov like Ernie Fletcher

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

y’all know that the 23% “something else” is almost certainly people who were listening for “Christian” (or “Baptist,” etc.) and not massive oversampling of Hindus, right?

Yes, the fact they included a detailed religious breakdown is a luxury. Religion is a subjective variable that gets more  subjective based on the  number of provided options. You cannot weight by it because what is a member of 'x' religion in these days. Depending on the survey a 'x' can be as be as light or as heavy as the  viewer interprets it to be. 'X' can contain a respondent who only goes to services once a  year, and a respondent who goes every week. Both people call themselves 'X's but they are clearly distinct. Meanwhile, with increasing secularism more people may think of themselves as agnostic or nonreligious, even though they may still follow certain religious customs they were raised in or respond "yes I'm a X" if questioned hard enough. It's just like self-identified ideology, partisanship, or class - these are all flawed statistics when compared to the  hard stuff like race, gender, education, age, income, or geographic region.

If you guys really want to just throw out polls that disagree with your narrative, rather then throw them on the pile, you can do that without telling us and providing a bunch of justification.

Yes, it is such a luxury to have the pollster that convinced half of Atlas Phil Bredesen still had a chance back in the game.

These two elections are apples and oranges, Bredesen did the Ted Strickland thing and went against the party establishment to win an open seat. Ted Strickland stated Scalia's death was good for American people. Bredesen bucked party trend and foolishly endorsed Kavenaugh. Manchin endorsed Kavanaugh, but he is a well established official. Beshear will win, due to Bevin and his Ernie Fletchers approvals

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

While we're on the subject, do the Republicans even have real candidates for Secretary of State and Attorney General? They do have people running, but I can't even imagine either one of them winning a city council race, let alone a statewide office.

These guys make Matt Bevin look like a great statesman.

It doesn’t fdcking matter, Republicans are going to sweep Kentucky next tuesday, and there will be plenty of eggs for you.

I wouldnt say that, Stumbi and Beshear have gotten FTO of police to endorce them. R legislature have put more money in K-12 than Gov Bevin and overrode his veto. On school choice, R legislature and Beshear agrees

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

You know, actually, I won’t be too sad when Bevin wins next tuesday.

So, like I said, move here and vote for him.

No thanks, he doesn’t need my vote considering he’s going to win by tens of thousands.

Why are you so sure Bevin, is gonna win? Beshear is the son of a former Gov. Bevin should not be tied, he should be ahead

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

While we're on the subject, do the Republicans even have real candidates for Secretary of State and Attorney General? They do have people running, but I can't even imagine either one of them winning a city council race, let alone a statewide office.

These guys make Matt Bevin look like a great statesman.

It doesn’t fdcking matter, Republicans are going to sweep Kentucky next tuesday, and there will be plenty of eggs for you.

The Atlas Forum Tuesday diet:

You got it reverse, this will happen to u and Bagel. Because Bevin out of all the polls taken has only lead in 1 poll

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Icespear keeps talking about Bredesen and Bredesen supported Kavanaugh,  when the Dem caucus was united against Kavanaugh.  Beshear isnt trying to run against Democrats in KY

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sinema and Jacky Rosen were elected to Senate and AZ isnt a left leaning State and opposed Kavanaugh.  Also, Ted Strickland was the lesson that Bredesen didnt learn, to how not to run a campaign. Strickland said that Scalia's death was good for America, and he lost his appeal to gun owners, when he said that. Strickland bucked the Dem establishment, Bredesen went against Dems when he supported Kavanaugh