Targoz Market Research: Reeves +1, Beshear +19 (lol)
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  Targoz Market Research: Reeves +1, Beshear +19 (lol)		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Targoz Market Research: Reeves +1, Beshear +19 (lol)  (Read 6593 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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« on: October 24, 2019, 04:57:27 PM »
https://www.targoz.com/market-matters-blog/2019/10/24/pollsmart-mr-polls-for-kentucky-and-mississippi

Reeves 47, Hood 46
Beshear 55, Bevin 36
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« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2019, 05:00:39 PM »
Those KY numbers
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Person Man
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« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2019, 05:02:32 PM »
This is all we have to go on atm.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2019, 05:07:37 PM »
Same pollster also had TN-Sen as a tie. Anyone who believes this will be getting truckloads of egg on their face just as all the posters in the previous thread did.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=305681.0
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Pericles
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« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2019, 05:31:06 PM »
Quote from: Bevinevitable on October 24, 2019, 05:07:37 PM
Same pollster also had TN-Sen as a tie. Anyone who believes this will be getting truckloads of egg on their face just as all the posters in the previous thread did.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=305681.0

So Beshear is up by 8% then? Wink

/s, while I would like to see a Beshear win I think Bevin probably wins by a similar margin as he did in 2015.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2019, 05:36:36 PM »
Quote from: Bevinevitable on October 24, 2019, 05:07:37 PM
Same pollster also had TN-Sen as a tie. Anyone who believes this will be getting truckloads of egg on their face just as all the posters in the previous thread did.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=305681.0
that level of swing still gives beshear an easy win haha
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #6 on: October 24, 2019, 05:43:50 PM »
They must’ve polled only registered KY Democrats
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #7 on: October 24, 2019, 05:53:58 PM »
Quote from: TrendsareReal on October 24, 2019, 05:43:50 PM
They must’ve polled only registered KY Democrats
interesting, this poll has a clear plurality of republicans as their sample. Even then, though, they have Beshear winning 94% of dems LMFAO.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: October 24, 2019, 07:29:56 PM »
KY likely R by Icespear, nah, its Tilt D
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: October 24, 2019, 08:00:25 PM »
At least they don't believe in herding?
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #10 on: October 24, 2019, 08:06:05 PM »
If it said +9, I'd say Bevin still had a chance. But +19? No.

Bye, Matt.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #11 on: October 24, 2019, 08:51:31 PM »
Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on October 24, 2019, 08:06:05 PM
If it said +9, I'd say Bevin still had a chance. But +19? No.

Bye, Matt. Andy.
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Donerail
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« Reply #12 on: October 24, 2019, 09:03:12 PM »
what is a "Targoz"
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Xing
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« Reply #13 on: October 24, 2019, 09:58:06 PM »
Obvious junk is obvious.


I believe you meant to say "Bayh-Bayh, Andy"
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #14 on: October 24, 2019, 10:32:42 PM »
« Edited: October 24, 2019, 10:36:13 PM by Cory Booker »
Quote from: Xing on October 24, 2019, 09:58:06 PM
Obvious junk is obvious.


I believe you meant to say "Bayh-Bayh, Andy"


It's not junk, its an on-line poll. But, it its true, Beshear wins by 2, it wont matter what margin is. But, Bevin is not inevitable, endangered in losing his seat
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #15 on: October 24, 2019, 11:03:18 PM »
Christ all polls lately (D primary, gubernatorial this year, and otherwise) are at the junkiest point I think I've ever seen. Polling is in crisis.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2019, 11:06:50 PM »
Bevin certainly deserves to lose in a landslide.

But will he ?

The fact that he never led a poll so far should make us optimistic !
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2019, 11:38:42 PM »
New Poll: Kentucky Governor by Targoz Strategic Marketing on 2019-10-20

Summary: D: 55%, R: 36%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #18 on: October 24, 2019, 11:41:00 PM »
New Poll: Mississippi Governor by Targoz Strategic Marketing on 2019-10-20

Summary: D: 46%, R: 47%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Skye
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« Reply #19 on: October 25, 2019, 02:21:22 AM »
Even if Beshear wins, this will probably still be an inaccurate poll lol.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #20 on: October 25, 2019, 03:13:14 AM »
Quote from: Skye on October 25, 2019, 02:21:22 AM
Even if Beshear wins, this will probably still be an inaccurate poll lol.

House effect due it being an online poll 51/49 Beshear
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #21 on: October 25, 2019, 06:32:13 AM »

I think it's a Bulgarian sausage.
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
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« Reply #22 on: October 25, 2019, 07:44:10 AM »

ancient mesopotamian space demon
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #23 on: October 25, 2019, 09:41:54 AM »
The KY result is junk (even if Beshear wins, it will be by 3-5 points at best), the MS result is certainly believable though.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #24 on: October 25, 2019, 09:42:50 AM »
Also, can we ban Branson from adding these junk "polls" to the database?
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