Who wins LA Gov Runoff

[HarrisonL]

You have two choices.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Edwards is up 17

[HarrisonL]

If you think he'll win by 17 you're crazy.

[HarrisonL]

A recent internal had Rispone leading him, and the last non internal only had him slightly up.

[ElectionsGuy]

Edwards, if I have to say right now. My poll is currently 51/49 Rispone so I expect this to track closely.

[MT Treasurer]

Safe D if JBE holds a press conference and says "The president shouldn’t be impeached" and "Democrats are obstructionists"

[Xing]

Safe D if JBE holds a press conference and says "The president shouldn’t be impeached" and "Democrats are obstructionists"

Eh, Rispone will offset that if he says socialist a few times.

Anyway, gun to my head, Rispone by a very narrow margin, but I think it's a Toss-Up.

[Frenchrepublican]

Hard to say, Edwards probably begins the race with 48% of the voters behind him, he has likely a slight advantage, but it’s a very tiny one and his chances of winning are not higher than 55% at the best.

[SnowLabrador]

Clearly Rispone.

[Free Bird]

Give it one more Trump rally and probably narrowly Rispone

[Skill and Chance]

Edwards, narrowly.  Dems consistently improve vote % in Lousiana runoffs and JBE needs less than half the average Dem improvement in recent times to win.

[MT Treasurer]

Edwards, narrowly.  Dems consistently improve vote % in Lousiana runoffs and JBE needs less than half the average Dem improvement in recent times to win.

I agree. On the same night, Republicans won Lieutenant Governor and Attorney General by 36 and 32 points, respectively. Even with popular (?) incumbents running again, I have a hard time believing that LA is that Republican. I expect the runoff electorate to be more Democratic-friendly, as it has been in the past.

[Mr. Smith]

Lean Rispone.

[Calthrina950]

Edwards, by a narrow margin. My original prediction was that he was going to beat Abraham 52-48%. Now of course, it will be him versus Rispone. It could be closer than that, but I say he hangs on in a manner similar to Manchin and Tester from last year. However, he could very well lose, and a Republican victory here would not surprise me in the slightest.

And given what we saw in the jungle primary, it is ironic how this pro-life, pro-gun Democrat will end up being saved by Louisiana's urban and suburban areas, and will do poorly in the rurals.

[Gass3268]

Edwards, narrowly.  Dems consistently improve vote % in Lousiana runoffs and JBE needs less than half the average Dem improvement in recent times to win.

I agree. On the same night, Republicans won Lieutenant Governor and Attorney General by 36 and 32 points, respectively. Even with popular (?) incumbents running again, I have a hard time believing that LA is that Republican. I expect the runoff electorate to be more Democratic-friendly, as it has been in the past.

I saw a fact over the weekend (can't find it now), that on average, a quarter of the electorate that voted in the jungle primary won't vote in the runoff, and a quarter of the electorate that votes in the runoff didn't vote in the jungle primary.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

I voted for Edwards in 2015, but the impeachment shearde by the democraps has moved me to support Rispone.

[Fuzzy Bear]

Rispone, 53-47.

I say that reluctantly, as I support Edwards for re-election.  But I don't think Edwards is going to poll much better than he did in the first round.

If this were a non-partisan race, I'd pick Edwards.  But it's not.  And it's not a partisan primary.  It's a jungle primary where the Republicans won 54% in the first round.

[PSOL]

Rispone will win.

[Pericles]

I'm not sure what to think about this race. I'll say Tilt D for now.

[MT Treasurer]

I voted for Edwards in 2015, but the impeachment shearde by the democraps has moved me to support Rispone.

❤️

Don’t worry, we’ll make ’em pay like in 1998 and 2002. The second JBE even utters the word IMPEACHMENT, he’s gone.

[UncleSam]

JBE 51-49

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Likely R. I don’t believe in ratings based on how close one comes to winning. Example: Obviously Beshear for example will come a lot closer to winning KY than Hillary Clinton did. Doesn’t mean it’s not Safe R though since he still has no path to victory.

Here, I think JBE comes close, but that final 2-3% in Louisiana is basically like like  asking the “moderate” Sean Hannity viewers in that state to give him a chance.

[Politician]

Tilt Edwards, something like 50.5-49.5 in the end.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Rispone. JBE is finished. Not too sad about that tbh.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Uh, Edwards is leading in every nonpartisan poll, folks.

Rispone doesn't have a chance.