KY-Mason Dixon: Dead heat (user search)
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  KY-Mason Dixon: Dead heat (search mode)
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Author Topic: KY-Mason Dixon: Dead heat  (Read 6372 times)
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 16, 2019, 07:21:09 AM »

The entire crosstabs is here :
https://www.wymt.com/content/news/EMBARGO-TIL-6-AM-Mason-Dixon-Kentucky-Poll-indicates-governors-race-is-tied-going-into-November-563167251.html

Trump approval rate : 57/39 (a bit low)

It’s crazy, but Bevin is polling better now than at the same time in 2015 (Mason Dixon had him down 2 in October 2015)

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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,275


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« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2019, 07:22:56 AM »


Libertarian is at 1%
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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,275


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« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2019, 11:07:45 AM »

There's a huge "Republicans for Beshear" page on Facebook. If Bevin is so popular like everyone claims, why is there no "Democrats for Bevin" page?

Lol. A page liked by 900 persons ?? That’s your proof that KY-Gov will flip ?
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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,275


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« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2019, 11:13:53 AM »

Lol. A page liked by 900 persons ?? That’s your proof that KY-Gov will flip ?

It's 900 more than the "Democrats for Bevin" page has.

I would love to see your face when Bevin will be re-elected by at least 6 points in two weeks. By the way there are probably more D registered voters who are crossing over for Bevin than the contrary
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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,275


P P P
« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2019, 11:20:07 AM »

Lol. A page liked by 900 persons ?? That’s your proof that KY-Gov will flip ?

It's 900 more than the "Democrats for Bevin" page has.

I would love to see your face when Bevin will be re-elected by at least 6 points in two weeks. By the way there are probably more D registered voters who are crossing over for Bevin than the contrary

Only six? That’s way too generous to Beshear

 I would be surprised if he were to lose, but I would be surprised too if he were to win by double digits, he is still one of the most unpopular governor in the country
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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,275


P P P
« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2019, 11:24:27 AM »

Lol. A page liked by 900 persons ?? That’s your proof that KY-Gov will flip ?

It's 900 more than the "Democrats for Bevin" page has.

I would love to see your face when Bevin will be re-elected by at least 6 points in two weeks. By the way there are probably more D registered voters who are crossing over for Bevin than the contrary

Only six? That’s way too generous to Beshear

 I would be surprised if he were to lose, but I would be surprised too if he were to win by double digits, he is still one of the most unpopular governor in the country

He is unpopular which is why he’ll do a lot worse than trump, but still easily win. Beshear needs like 25% of Trump supporters to get close. He’ll be lucky to get 15%

Yeah, sure, Bevin will likely prevail, but it won’t be a landslide victory either.
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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,275


P P P
« Reply #6 on: October 24, 2019, 11:28:43 AM »

Lol. A page liked by 900 persons ?? That’s your proof that KY-Gov will flip ?

It's 900 more than the "Democrats for Bevin" page has.

I would love to see your face when Bevin will be re-elected by at least 6 points in two weeks. By the way there are probably more D registered voters who are crossing over for Bevin than the contrary

Only six? That’s way too generous to Beshear

 I would be surprised if he were to lose, but I would be surprised too if he were to win by double digits, he is still one of the most unpopular governor in the country

He is unpopular which is why he’ll do a lot worse than trump, but still easily win. Beshear needs like 25% of Trump supporters to get close. He’ll be lucky to get 15%

Yeah, sure, Bevin will likely prevail, but it won’t be a landslide victory either.

If he only gets 15% of Trump supporters that puts his support in the low 40’s. Which is my guess for what Beshear will get

 I think Bevin will win 51/43
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