Louisiana Runoff: What's the rating now?

[windjammer]

It's a toss up.


I don't understand the euphoria honestly. The polls weren't off.

[windjammer]

It's a toss up.


I don't understand the euphoria honestly. The polls weren't off.

They accurately predicted JBE's percentage. People are pessimistic because 100% of the undecideds went to the Republicans.

I mean, that was obvious undecided were going to be more republican as there were two main candidates.

[windjammer]

On an another note,
Are LA republicans going to pick enough sites for a supermajority in the state house?

[windjammer]

On an another note,
Are LA republicans going to pick enough sites for a supermajority in the state house?

There are 8 seats which are going to a runoff

HD21 : this is a rural majority black district. The runoff features 1 independent candidate versus 1 democratic candidate, in the jungle primary democrats won 55% of the vote (there were 2 democrats versus 2 independents). Likely D.

HD50 : this is a very conservative rural district in the Bayou area, democrats held it before this year (the democratic incumbent is termed out), the runoff features 1 independent candidate versus 1 republican candidate as democrats didn't field any candidate, in the jungle primary republicans won a combined 63% share of the vote (the two independents won 37%). Certainly Safe R

HD62 : this is a rural, conservative leaning, independent-held district located north of Baton Rouge, the independent incumbent won only 38% of the vote in the jungle primary, at the same time another independent candidate won 10% while two republican candidates won a combined 52% voting share. It's probably the most important district and also the most competitive one. Toss-up

HD68 : this is a suburban, R leaning, district near Baton Rouge, the jungle primary featured 2 democrats versus three republicans, the two democrats won 35% of the vote while the republicans won together 65% of the vote, JBE could win this district and could in theory provide some coatails to the democratic candidate but she remains a big underdog nevertheless. Likely R

HD70 : like HD68, this is a upscale suburban, R leaning district which is located in East Baton Rouge Parish, the lone democratic candidate won 38% of the vote in the jungle primary while the three republicans won 59% when combined together, JBE will probably win this district and could help the democratic candidate but she still remains the underdog considering she won less than 40% of the vote three weeks ago. Likely R

HD71 : this is a very republican district in Livingston Parish, in the jungle primary you had 1 democrat versus 4 republicans, the democrat ended up in 2nd position but she only won 15% (the 4 republicans won together 85% of the vote), obviously the democratic candidate is a big underdog. Safe R

HD94 : this is a fairly wealthy (by Louisiana standards) district which includes parts of NOLA and a few parts of Metairie, JBE won it by a large margin but at the legislative level the lone democratic candidate won only a small 34% share of the vote, at the same time the moderate republican incumbent had to face a challenge from the right but she dispatched it easily, the two republicans won togheter a combined 65% share of the vote. Even if this well off district is trending D, I doubt it will flip (Trump won it quite easily) and the democrat who is running looks very progressive. Likely R

HD105 : this district includes some NOLA exurbs and the west bank of the Mississippi River, in the jungle primary the republican incumbent had to face a challenge from the right whom he dispatched, the lone democratic candidate won 39% of the vote while the two republicans won the remaining 61%, as for the runoff the democratic candidate is clearly the underdog even if a upset can't be ruled out. Likely R

Thank you !