For those saying Likely/Safe R, what do you make of this?
With the exception of 2014, the gains that Dems made from jungle primary to runoff suggests an Edwards win. Not saying he will win - these things could change, but it is a decent sign.
There's a huge difference between gaining from the mid-30s to the low 40s, and gaining from the high 40s to over 50%. You're going to soon deal with inflexible, partisan Republican voters. It is a very easy thing in the deep south for a Democrat to get to 40% statewide due to a large segment of blacks and a small chunk of left-of-center whites coalescing. The thing is, right-of-center whites make up close to 60% in these kinds of states.
JBE attaining 46.6% is laudable for a Democrat in the Deep South. Imagine if Marc Molinaro got 46% against Cuomo, or imagine Trump breaking 40% in New York State, or getting close to 40% in California.