Louisiana Runoff: What's the rating now? (user search)
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  Louisiana Runoff: What's the rating now? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Rate the runoff between Edwards (D) and Rispone (R) on November 16th
#1
Likely Edwards
#2
Lean Edwards
#3
Toss-Up/Tilt Edwards
#4
Toss-Up/Tilt Rispone
#5
Lean Rispone
#6
Likely Rispone
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results


Author Topic: Louisiana Runoff: What's the rating now?  (Read 5397 times)
Kingpoleon
Atlas Star
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Posts: 22,144
United States


« on: October 17, 2019, 07:30:46 PM »

Pure toss-up

If you believe that JBE will be able to win a significant numbers of Abraham’s voters then JBE is favoured (I’m doubtful about that), if you believe that JBE’s numbers in the primary are close to his ceiling, then he is the underdog.
JBE needs to win ~8% of Abraham’s vote, assuming a tenth stay home. 10% if they all vote.
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