Louisiana Runoff: What's the rating now?

[ElectionsGuy]

I don't know if this should be considered toss-up even though Republicans won last night's vote. But it's definitely not difficult to imagine Rispone winning. Sticking with Lean D, for now, may move to Toss-up/Tilt D later.

[ElectionsGuy]

After thinking through this a little more, I'm changing to toss-up (but still tilts D)

[ElectionsGuy]

After thinking through this a little more, I'm changing to toss-up (but still tilts D)

After republicans just won the combined vote 52-47, how do you think JBE can still win, especially considering Rispone should have a photo finish?

So far polls have shown JBE doing better in the runoff (yes, I realize they were off, but even factoring that in) and I don't think 100% or maybe even 90% of Abraham's voters are going to be committed enough to vote for Rispone after a somewhat harsh intraparty battle.

[ElectionsGuy]

Exact tie. Wow!

[ElectionsGuy]

Flipping my prediction to Rispone, 50.5-51.0 to 49.5-49.0. And honestly, I don't think much will change my mind outside of a bunch of polls in the final weeks showing Edwards up 5 points or more.