2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2
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Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2  (Read 168192 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1825 on: October 05, 2020, 09:17:54 AM »
Quote from: gracile on October 05, 2020, 09:05:11 AM
Quote from: VARepublican on October 05, 2020, 08:52:41 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 05, 2020, 08:50:21 AM
Quote from: VARepublican on October 05, 2020, 08:43:07 AM

Quote
Rep. Kendra Horn raised $1.4M

Embarrassing

How is $1.4M for Horn embarrassing? She literally broke OK records.

I think Bice is the one who broke OK records

And it’s not great that she raised less than a no name challenger in TX-02

Of course, that no-name challenger is also taking on a polarizing political figure who galvanizes a particular segment of the Democratic base (Dan Crenshaw) - which explains some of the high amounts of money for his opponent. It seems like we have reached a weird point where $1M is seen as a subpar fundraising total when it is still a significant sum - especially in less expensive markets like OKC.

All of your points are fair, especially that the OKC market is not as expensive as the Houston market. But I did expect her to raise more than $1.4M. Maybe “embarrassing” wasn’t the best word choice.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1826 on: October 05, 2020, 09:18:24 AM »
Quote from: gracile on October 05, 2020, 09:05:11 AM
Quote from: VARepublican on October 05, 2020, 08:52:41 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 05, 2020, 08:50:21 AM
Quote from: VARepublican on October 05, 2020, 08:43:07 AM

Quote
Rep. Kendra Horn raised $1.4M

Embarrassing

How is $1.4M for Horn embarrassing? She literally broke OK records.

I think Bice is the one who broke OK records

And it’s not great that she raised less than a no name challenger in TX-02

Of course, that no-name challenger is also taking on a polarizing political figure who galvanizes a particular segment of the Democratic base (Dan Crenshaw) - which explains some of the high amounts of money for his opponent. It seems like we have reached a weird point where $1M is seen as a subpar fundraising total when it is still a significant sum - especially in less expensive markets like OKC.

He's high-profile for sure, but I wouldn't really say he galvanizes Democrats. Certainly not in the same way as someone like Lindsey or Mitch.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1827 on: October 05, 2020, 11:10:15 AM »
Incredible.
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VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1828 on: October 05, 2020, 11:13:32 AM »
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1829 on: October 05, 2020, 11:18:49 AM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on October 05, 2020, 11:10:15 AM
Incredible.



Hot damn. Wouldn't be surprised if Crenshaw is the top House GOP fundraiser aside from leadership.
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Skye
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« Reply #1830 on: October 05, 2020, 11:30:18 AM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on October 05, 2020, 11:10:15 AM
Incredible.



This is an eye popping number. Has another candidate beat that in Q3?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #1831 on: October 05, 2020, 11:36:23 AM »
Remember the days when raising more than 200 thousand meant you were a legit candidate?
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1832 on: October 05, 2020, 12:09:28 PM »


Pretty weak (she raised $1M in Q2)
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VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1833 on: October 05, 2020, 03:03:13 PM »
Stefanik raises over $3 million.

https://www.newzjunky.com/stefanik-raises-over-3-million-in-q3/
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Beet
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« Reply #1834 on: October 05, 2020, 03:21:55 PM »
That Crenshaw number is ridiculous. He should probably fork over a few million to SNL, since he owes it to them.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1835 on: October 05, 2020, 09:51:42 PM »
NRCC is pulling out of VA-05.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1836 on: October 05, 2020, 09:58:52 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 05, 2020, 09:51:42 PM
NRCC is pulling out of VA-05.



Nice one, VAGOP. This would be avoidable had you not opted for a convention to get rid of an incumbent for the stupidest reason imaginable.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1837 on: October 05, 2020, 10:02:59 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 05, 2020, 09:51:42 PM
NRCC is pulling out of VA-05.



I doubt this, but we'll see.

I've been phone banking for the Webb campaign and I'm seriously impressed with apparatus. It's a tough district but he has a fighting chance and will definitely do better than Leslie Cockburn.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1838 on: October 05, 2020, 10:57:05 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on October 05, 2020, 09:58:52 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 05, 2020, 09:51:42 PM
NRCC is pulling out of VA-05.



Nice one, VAGOP. This would be avoidable had you not opted for a convention to get rid of an incumbent for the stupidest reason imaginable.

I mean, Denver Riggleman might have done a little better, but he would have been very vulnerable as well.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1839 on: October 05, 2020, 11:18:00 PM »
The thing about ads is that they only have a marginal impact if both parties are spending at near equal amounts. You want to counter the oppositions ads and prevent them from getting an exponential lead, leading to the marginal uncommitted voter walking into the booth and voting for the person who they actually know about from TV/Web/radio/etc. Good has so poor finances that the GOP has to work double time to bring him up to par, and they essentially decided it's not worth the effort. So, if Good wins in November, it's going to be the (R) label that saves him.
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VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1840 on: October 06, 2020, 03:54:51 AM »
« Edited: October 06, 2020, 04:02:32 AM by VARepublican »
More Q3 totals

McConnell (KY-SEN): $15.6M (COH: $13.8M)
Shalala (FL-27): $800k
Hale (IN-05): $1.7M
Schroder (OH-01): $1.7M
Spanberger (VA-07): $2.4M

COH:
Malliotakis - $584k
Freitas - $700k
Stefanik - $4M
Spanberger - $5.7M
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1841 on: October 06, 2020, 04:03:49 AM »
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DaWN
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« Reply #1842 on: October 06, 2020, 05:59:56 AM »
I think the NRCC are pulling out of VA-05 for the opposite reason you all think they are
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1843 on: October 06, 2020, 06:30:27 AM »
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #1844 on: October 06, 2020, 06:38:05 AM »
Quote from: VARepublican on October 06, 2020, 06:30:27 AM


Since when is Tarantino a Republican?
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #1845 on: October 06, 2020, 06:49:03 AM »
Quote from: Mr.Phips on October 06, 2020, 06:38:05 AM
Quote from: VARepublican on October 06, 2020, 06:30:27 AM


Since when is Tarantino a Republican?

It's a meme based on the camera angles
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1846 on: October 06, 2020, 06:53:09 AM »
Quote from: DaWN on October 06, 2020, 05:59:56 AM
I think the NRCC are pulling out of VA-05 for the opposite reason you all think they are

Polls have had the race at about a tossup, so I... I don't think so
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1847 on: October 06, 2020, 07:08:37 AM »
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1848 on: October 06, 2020, 07:37:19 AM »
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1849 on: October 06, 2020, 08:03:12 AM »
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