2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

RRH Elections updated their House ratings:

https://rrhelections.com/index.php/2019/12/07/rrh-elections-december-2019-house-ratings/

Moved in favor of Republicans
CA-21: Tossup from Lean D
CA-25: Tossup from Likely D
CA-50: Likely R from Lean R
IL-12: Safe R from Likely R
IN-1: Likely D from Safe D
MI-1: Safe R from Likely R
NY-17: Likely D from Safe D
NY-27: Likely R from Lean R
NC-3: Safe R from Likely R
NC-9: Likely R from Lean R
NC-13: Safe R from Likely R
WA-10: Likely D from Safe D
WV-2: Safe R from Likely R

Moved in favor of Democrats
CA-8: Likely R from Safe R
CA-24: Safe D from Likely D
IL-6: Likely D from Lean D
MO-2: Lean R from Likely R
NJ-3: Lean D from Tossup
NY-2: Lean R from Likely R
NC-2: Safe D from Lean R
NC-6: Safe D from Safe R
NC-8: Likely R from Safe R

Throw the entire site out.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

RRH Elections updated their House ratings:

https://rrhelections.com/index.php/2019/12/07/rrh-elections-december-2019-house-ratings/

Moved in favor of Republicans
CA-21: Tossup from Lean D
CA-25: Tossup from Likely D
CA-50: Likely R from Lean R
IL-12: Safe R from Likely R
IN-1: Likely D from Safe D
MI-1: Safe R from Likely R
NY-17: Likely D from Safe D
NY-27: Likely R from Lean R
NC-3: Safe R from Likely R
NC-9: Likely R from Lean R
NC-13: Safe R from Likely R
WA-10: Likely D from Safe D
WV-2: Safe R from Likely R

Moved in favor of Democrats
CA-8: Likely R from Safe R
CA-24: Safe D from Likely D
IL-6: Likely D from Lean D
MO-2: Lean R from Likely R
NJ-3: Lean D from Tossup
NY-2: Lean R from Likely R
NC-2: Safe D from Lean R
NC-6: Safe D from Safe R
NC-8: Likely R from Safe R

Throw the entire site out.

Burn it all down, man!

[Landslide Lyndon]

RRH Elections updated their House ratings:

https://rrhelections.com/index.php/2019/12/07/rrh-elections-december-2019-house-ratings/

Moved in favor of Republicans
CA-21: Tossup from Lean D
CA-25: Tossup from Likely D
IN-1: Likely D from Safe D

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!

[ON Progressive]

RRH Elections updated their House ratings:

https://rrhelections.com/index.php/2019/12/07/rrh-elections-december-2019-house-ratings/

Moved in favor of Republicans
CA-21: Tossup from Lean D
CA-25: Tossup from Likely D
IN-1: Likely D from Safe D

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!

You missed the funniest one: NY-17 being Likely D when it's a Clinton +20 district trending Democratic.

[Frenchrepublican]

The problem with the RRH ratings is that they are far too broad, IN-1 is not competitive bu WI-6 is not competitive either

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/brookefoxnews/status/1204047644492017668

[libertpaulian]

https://twitter.com/brookefoxnews/status/1204047644492017668

Welp.  There goes the VAGOP's chance of making the Senate seat even 1% competitive.  Now they don't even have hope for a miracle.

[Gracile]

https://twitter.com/brookefoxnews/status/1204047644492017668

Welp.  There goes the VAGOP's chance of making the Senate seat even 1% competitive.  Now they don't even have hope for a miracle.

Taylor is damaged goods. I doubt he would have made the Senate race competitive.

[The Arizonan]

In the congressional race in NC-06, the race is going to be between Mark Walker (R) and whoever wins the Democratic primary. The Democratic primary is the real contest and I have a gut feeling that Kathy Manning will use her name recognition from her last House race to cruise to the nomination even though the primary will probably be split along racial lines.

https://twitter.com/brookefoxnews/status/1204047644492017668

Welp.  There goes the VAGOP's chance of making the Senate seat even 1% competitive.  Now they don't even have hope for a miracle.

Taylor is damaged goods. I doubt he would have made the Senate race competitive.

How is he damaged goods?

[Oryxslayer]

In the congressional race in NC-06, the race is going to be between Mark Walker (R) and whoever wins the Democratic primary. The Democratic primary is the real contest and I have a gut feeling that Kathy Manning will use her name recognition from her last House race to cruise to the nomination even though the primary will probably be split along racial lines.

https://twitter.com/brookefoxnews/status/1204047644492017668

Welp.  There goes the VAGOP's chance of making the Senate seat even 1% competitive.  Now they don't even have hope for a miracle.

Taylor is damaged goods. I doubt he would have made the Senate race competitive.

How is he damaged goods?

You don't remember how he broke campaign law last time and forged signatures to try and get the Green Party on the ballot?

[The Arizonan]

In the congressional race in NC-06, the race is going to be between Mark Walker (R) and whoever wins the Democratic primary. The Democratic primary is the real contest and I have a gut feeling that Kathy Manning will use her name recognition from her last House race to cruise to the nomination even though the primary will probably be split along racial lines.

https://twitter.com/brookefoxnews/status/1204047644492017668

Welp.  There goes the VAGOP's chance of making the Senate seat even 1% competitive.  Now they don't even have hope for a miracle.

Taylor is damaged goods. I doubt he would have made the Senate race competitive.

How is he damaged goods?

You don't remember how he broke campaign law last time and forged signatures to try and get the Green Party on the ballot?

I actually forgot about that story. Why was he trying to get a third party candidate on the ballot?

[Oryxslayer]

In the congressional race in NC-06, the race is going to be between Mark Walker (R) and whoever wins the Democratic primary. The Democratic primary is the real contest and I have a gut feeling that Kathy Manning will use her name recognition from her last House race to cruise to the nomination even though the primary will probably be split along racial lines.

https://twitter.com/brookefoxnews/status/1204047644492017668

Welp.  There goes the VAGOP's chance of making the Senate seat even 1% competitive.  Now they don't even have hope for a miracle.

Taylor is damaged goods. I doubt he would have made the Senate race competitive.

How is he damaged goods?

You don't remember how he broke campaign law last time and forged signatures to try and get the Green Party on the ballot?

I actually forgot about that story. Why was he trying to get a third party candidate on the ballot?

A Green third party poaches only Democratic votes, at least on paper. In essence, dirty, illegal, tricks.

It's a sign of how far the VA GOP has fallen that one of their two likely nominees for the competitive seats broke campaign law in in a way that was all over local news, and their other is an idiot who had to run an expensive write-in for his safe R seat all because he forgot to hand in the forms.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/ChadPergram/status/1204409827457486848

Time to break out the champagne.

[Libertas Vel Mors]

https://twitter.com/ChadPergram/status/1204409827457486848

Time to break out the champagne.

....Why?

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/ChadPergram/status/1204409827457486848

Time to break out the champagne.

....Why?

He promised only 4 terms. FF move to retire here,actually held to his promises.

[Pollster]

New internals from the Congressional Leadership Fund, conducted by Remington.


TX-10:
McCaul 50
Hutcheson 41
Undecided 9

PA-01:
Fitzpatrick 50
Wachspress 36
Undecided 14

[Person Man]

https://twitter.com/ChadPergram/status/1204409827457486848

Time to break out the champagne.

....Why?

He promised only 4 terms. FF move to retire here,actually held to his promises.

Safe R -> Likely R

In a Trump Midterm

Likely -> Lean R

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

New internals from the Congressional Leadership Fund, conducted by Remington.


TX-10:
McCaul 50
Hutcheson 41
Undecided 9

PA-01:
Fitzpatrick 50
Wachspress 36
Undecided 14

That’s a pretty bad internal for McCaul this far out. I have this one at Lean R, but I fully expect Trump to lose this seat and hence that rating might be too generous

[Gracile]

New internals from the Congressional Leadership Fund, conducted by Remington.


TX-10:
McCaul 50
Hutcheson 41
Undecided 9

PA-01:
Fitzpatrick 50
Wachspress 36
Undecided 14

CLF’s internals were way off in 2018, so I’m taking these with a grain of salt.

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Knute Buehler is running for OR-02

https://twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1204517527847604229?s=20

[Libertas Vel Mors]

https://twitter.com/ChadPergram/status/1204409827457486848

Time to break out the champagne.

....Why?

He promised only 4 terms. FF move to retire here,actually held to his promises.

Safe R -> Likely R

In a Trump Midterm

Likely -> Lean R

This was a Trump +15 district...the only other district Democrats hold in the nation that gave Trump more than 55% is MN-07. Safe R -> Safe R.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

https://twitter.com/ChadPergram/status/1204409827457486848

Time to break out the champagne.

....Why?

He promised only 4 terms. FF move to retire here,actually held to his promises.

Safe R -> Likely R

In a Trump Midterm

Likely -> Lean R

This was a Trump +15 district...the only other district Democrats hold in the nation that gave Trump more than 55% is MN-07. Safe R -> Safe R.

I agree it’s still Safe R, but NY-22 is also 55% Trump

[Frenchrepublican]

https://twitter.com/ChadPergram/status/1204409827457486848

Time to break out the champagne.

....Why?

He promised only 4 terms. FF move to retire here,actually held to his promises.

Safe R -> Likely R

In a Trump Midterm

Likely -> Lean R

This was a Trump +15 district...the only other district Democrats hold in the nation that gave Trump more than 55% is MN-07. Safe R -> Safe R.

I agree it’s still Safe R, but NY-22 is also 55% Trump

Yeah, but NY22 was only Romney+1

[Frenchrepublican]

Speaking of NY-22 :

https://www.nystateofpolitics.com/2019/12/ny-22-mccarthy-endorses-tenney/

Not a very smart move to say the least.

Brindisi is a very lucky guy

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Speaking of NY-22 :

https://www.nystateofpolitics.com/2019/12/ny-22-mccarthy-endorses-tenney/

Not a very smart move to say the least.

Brindisi is a very lucky guy

It would be amazing if the GOP threw away their best chance to win back the most winnable seat for them in 2020.