I should also point out that LA Democrats always do better in the runoff than in the primary.
Not really. That was true in 2015 because many conservative voters who voted R in the jungle primary either sat out in the runoff or even voted for Edwards, but in 2014 the electorate was not more D friendly in the runoff than in the primary (43.4% D / 54.7% R in the first round then 44.1% / 55.9% R un the runoff).
If the Gov election ends up in a runoff I expect a very competitive race and I don’t expect that much drop off.
And Landrieu did better despite the electorate being more Republican. Thanks for proving my point.