Interesting. The very extensive use of early voting this year is probably driven by the big LSU football game on election day, which will presumably drive down ED turnout. My understanding is that college football viewership skews quite R vs. the general population, so I am not surprised they are so overrepresented in early voting this year. I would be very careful about comparing to past EV turnout because of this dynamic.
310k voters voted early, you can’t just dismiss such numbers like that.
French R is correct here. Maybe it is just since I have no interest in sports, but I have serious doubts that a single sports game, however significant, would alter EV results to this degree. The fact of the matter is upballot patterns are catching up to JBE. He could still win, but he won't win in this round and if he wins in the runoff, it will only be by 2-4.
