Obviously you never want to see the EV going so poorly but it’s not particularly predictive. It just means that the R base is more enthused to vote early, but that probably means fewer ED voters for Rs.
The thing is that the early voting electorate is not that different from the Election Day electorate.
https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1180448728680996864?s=20
Maybe my post wasn’t super clear
I’m saying that just because more Rs are voting early does not mean that Rs are necessarily gaining voters. They’re just gaining more early voters potentially or even probably at the expense of Election Day voters. It’s the same thing that happened with Democrats in Florida in 2016. The people who vote change how they vote less than they change when they vote.
Of course these numbers are still good news for Rs, don’t get me wrong. But I don’t think they’re as crushing as they might seem.
