AZ (Crooked|Change Research) Warren 35, Sanders 19, Biden 15, Buttigieg 13

[Sorenroy]

Why is Crooked Media, a reputable, well known podcasting company, so set on using such a weak, outlier pollster for all their random state polls?

I mean, maybe Change is just ahead of the curve here, but they don't have a great reputation and if your polling a state that rarely gets polled you really need a good organization to do it since you can't rely on the power of averages.

[Sorenroy]

Why is Crooked Media, a reputable, well known podcasting company, so set on using such a weak, outlier pollster for all their random state polls?

I mean, maybe Change is just ahead of the curve here, but they don't have a great reputation and if your polling a state that rarely gets polled you really need a good organization to do it since you can't rely on the power of averages.

https://medium.com/change-research/change-research-accuracy-c4ce51a190cb

When comparing our absolute error on the top-two margin among all our polls with available public comparisons, we are similar in terms of accuracy: slightly less accurate on Senate and Governor polls, and slightly more accurate on U.S. House polls. Of course, our average price per poll is only $4,000–5,000 — usually 80–90% less than what a candidate would pay for a traditional poll.

You get what you pay for.

I mean, yeah. I get why a smaller news outlet or some individual might hire Change, but why would Crooked Media? They seem like the kind of outlet that could afford to hire someone with at least a slightly better reputation.