Change Research Poll: Warren: 29% Sanders: 22% Biden: 19% Others: who care %

[junior chįmp]

Bye bye Biden!

https://mobile.twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1169028544879636482

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

lmao ok

[Sirius_]

Tell me again how Atlas takes these guys more seriously than Emerson?

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Not really that believable, but Biden is steadily losing his lead. Unless he manages a breakthrough somehow (which isn't entirely out of the question), I don't see him making it.

[MT Treasurer]

What do you mean Monmouth was an outlier and Warren hasn’t won the nomination?? I am stunned, stunned I tell you!

But don’t worry, we’ll be getting another round of "This is the end of Biden!" takes next week just in time when Change Research shows him trailing Warren and/or Sanders.

[eric82oslo]

Biden is going down, and fast. We have at least a handful of polls showing the same trajectory now.

His recent gaffes and memory-lapses might also have an outsized effect, especially on younger voters who want a vibrant and energized president not too unlike Obama.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

The Harvard-Harris poll has Warren at 13%. Time for these two pollsters to have a battle to the death or something.

[GeneralMacArthur]

Anyone remember that pollster that came out of nowhere in 2015, was dumping results every single day that were shocking and generated headlines and traffic, but the website was just a cheap Blogger page covered in ads?  I forget the name.  The 2016 polling board has been deleted.  Someone on here did the analysis and found that their numbers were mathematically impossible.

If you're going to do a baloney polling racket, you might as well go all the way.

Maybe ChangeResearch just wants to make a career out of telling the far-left what they want to hear.

[Comrade Funk]

Wish CNN or Fox would come out with something new soon lol

[Mr. Morden]

Warren 29%
Sanders 22%
Biden 19%
Buttigieg 9%
Harris 6%
Booker 3%
O’Rourke 3%
Yang 2%
Castro 2%
Gabbard 2%
Klobuchar 1%
Steyer 1%
Williamson 1%
Delaney, Bennet, de Blasio, Sestak, Bullock, Gillibrand 0%

They have Warren leading among whites and Latinos, while in 2nd place (to Biden) among blacks:



Also have Warren tied with Sanders among voters under age 35, and 2nd to Biden among those over 65:

[Mr. Morden]

The 2016 polling board has been deleted.

No it hasn't:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?board=93.0

[eric82oslo]

It's fascinating that Biden has hardly any support at all among those younger than 50, while is still massively popular among voters older than 50. Voters on the forefront of trendlines are usually young voters, highly engaged voters and - in Democratic primaries - also (very) liberal voters. All bad signs for someone like Biden.

[GeneralMacArthur]

The 2016 polling board has been deleted.

No it hasn't:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?board=93.0

Oh thanks.

It was Overtime Politics.  The megathread for their fraudulent polls has the most views of any polling thread for the entire 2016 cycle (not too surprising since it was a megathread).

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=224691.0

It's now apparently a Chinese sports gambling Wordpress blog?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is a change election. Biden, Trump and Sanders were 2016 candidates.  The House leadership changed in 2018 and the Senate leadership needs to change in 2020. I think the low polling Markey is experiencing is part of that change.

Warren, Buttigieg would debate Trump/Pence very


Thats why blue avatars keep saying its a 279 election, doesnt realize AZ and FL are retiree states and AARP is an enodorser of the Dem not R party

[ProudModerate2]

What do you mean Monmouth was an outlier and Warren hasn’t won the nomination?? I am stunned, stunned I tell you!

But don’t worry, we’ll be getting another round of "This is the end of Biden!" takes next week just in time when Change Research shows him trailing Warren and/or Sanders.

Where can I get a Crystal Ball that looks into the future?

[rhg2052]

What do you mean Monmouth was an outlier and Warren hasn’t won the nomination?? I am stunned, stunned I tell you!

But don’t worry, we’ll be getting another round of "This is the end of Biden!" takes next week just in time when Change Research shows him trailing Warren and/or Sanders.

Where can I get a Crystal Ball that looks into the future?

Talk to Marianne

[eric82oslo]

What do you mean Monmouth was an outlier and Warren hasn’t won the nomination?? I am stunned, stunned I tell you!

But don’t worry, we’ll be getting another round of "This is the end of Biden!" takes next week just in time when Change Research shows him trailing Warren and/or Sanders.

Where can I get a Crystal Ball that looks into the future?

Here: https://twitter.com/krystalball

[IceSpear]

What do you mean Monmouth was an outlier and Warren hasn’t won the nomination?? I am stunned, stunned I tell you!

But don’t worry, we’ll be getting another round of "This is the end of Biden!" takes next week just in time when Change Research shows him trailing Warren and/or Sanders.

lol, nice call.

[The Mikado]

https://medium.com/change-research/change-research-accuracy-c4ce51a190cb

When comparing our absolute error on the top-two margin among all our polls with available public comparisons, we are similar in terms of accuracy: slightly less accurate on Senate and Governor polls, and slightly more accurate on U.S. House polls. Of course, our average price per poll is only $4,000–5,000 — usually 80–90% less than what a candidate would pay for a traditional poll.

You get what you pay for.

[free my dawg]

We will win.

[Eraserhead]

Wish CNN or Fox would come out with something new soon lol

They both came out with polls fairly recently.

[NOVA Green]

This poll appears to be a bit "sketchy" in a wide variety of interpretations using an "Old Skool" SoCal term from the early '90s.

https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=sketchy

Personally, I don't "Believe the Hype" in the words of Public Enemy and the legendary Chuck-D, as much as I want to buy it....

"Uncle Joe" has significant staying power, and we'll see what happens in the DEM debate on 9/12, but yeah this a ton of horse crap....

[Sir Mohamed]

I'm suspicious of these Change Research polls. But even if this poll is an outlier, which it is in my opinion, the Biden campaign has every reason to be worried about Warren. I think she'll win IA and NH, changing the dynamics of the race and sealing the deal in CA.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Anyone remember that pollster that came out of nowhere in 2015, was dumping results every single day that were shocking and generated headlines and traffic, but the website was just a cheap Blogger page covered in ads?  I forget the name.  The 2016 polling board has been deleted.  Someone on here did the analysis and found that their numbers were mathematically impossible.

If you're going to do a baloney polling racket, you might as well go all the way.

Maybe ChangeResearch just wants to make a career out of telling the far-left what they want to hear.

tbf though, this pollster conducted polls during the 2018 cycle too (which was posted here), so it's not as if they came out of nowhere

[wbrocks67]

Not only is Biden not that low, they consistently have Warren and Buttigieg way higher than everyone else.