AK-Sen: A GROSS opponent for Dan Sullivan

[voice_of_resistance]

if they do Alaska is competitive. some 40-45 percent of the state's population lives in Anchorage alone. If Anchorage suburbs become purple instead of red the state as a whole goes from Likely to Lean R.

[voice_of_resistance]

Donated!

[voice_of_resistance]

Yup. I know Steph, she's great. A Republican pollster friend of mine on Election Twitter has also said its BAD for Dems, but I don't know what that means. We'll just have to wait and see.

[voice_of_resistance]

I meant BAD for Republicans. Juicy either way. We'll have to see in 7 hours won't we.

[voice_of_resistance]

Yeah, this is a bad poll for the GOP. Trump only being up by 3 in AK, with only 6% undecideds means that AK is Likely R at worst now for President. AK-AL being Galvin +2 prob indicates Lean R, and the Senate race is definitely not a safe Sullivan hold.

[voice_of_resistance]

Here's my breakdown.

Losing AL puts Dems at 46.

47: Colorado
48: Arizona
49: North Carolina
50: Maine
51: Montana
52: Iowa
53: Georgia-Regular
54: Kansas
55: Alaska
56: Georgia Special
57: Texas
58: South Carolina
59: Mississippi
60: Kentucky

In terms of any seats that have a possibility of flipping. Note possibility != plausibility. Maybe 55-56 is the absolute max.