AK-Sen: A GROSS opponent for Dan Sullivan
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  AK-Sen: A GROSS opponent for Dan Sullivan
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Author Topic: AK-Sen: A GROSS opponent for Dan Sullivan  (Read 9418 times)
aaroncd107
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« on: October 01, 2019, 10:57:27 AM »

Commercial fisherman and orthopedic surgeon, Al Gross, announces his campaign raised 1 million dollars in Q3:



Watch his launch video here:



Gross is running in the Democratic primary as an independent, and is suspected to be the DSCC's choice for the seat. He is son of former AK AG Av Gross, who worked for fmr. Gov. Jay Hammond, founder of the permanent fund.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2019, 11:01:33 AM »

Commercial fisherman and orthopedic surgeon, Al Gross, announces his campaign raised 1 million dollars in Q3:


Watch his launch video here:


Gross is running in the Democratic primary as an independent, and is suspected to be the DSCC's choice for the seat. He is son of former AK AG Av Gross, who worked for fmr. Gov. Jay Hammond, founder of the permanent fund.

The populism Purple heart in this ad is off the charts!
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2019, 11:05:54 AM »

Sullivan is definitely favored, but this and TX/KS/MT are the Lean/Likely R races where I think there’s at least some "upset" potential.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2019, 11:05:57 AM »

Considering how little attention this race has gotten, I am rather impressed that he raised 800K. Of course, the Democrats are likely not going to take the seat, but this is a race to keep an eye on.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #4 on: October 01, 2019, 11:24:26 AM »
« Edited: October 01, 2019, 12:22:49 PM by Oryxslayer »

Alaska, at least for a while there, was in GOP-caused crisis mode which was juicing up the Democratic opposition similar to Kansas. Therefore, I'm not surprised he raised lots of cash. If the crisis continues to 2020 I wouldn't want to be a GOPer in a state where reelection can depend on the price  of oil - however that is a low probability.
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #5 on: October 01, 2019, 11:44:09 AM »

Alaska at least for a while there was in GOP-caused crisis mode which was juicing up the Democratic opposition similar to Kansas. Therefore, I'm not surprised he raised lots of cash. If the crisis continues to 2020 I wouldn't want to be a GOPer in a state where reelection can depend on the price  of oil - however that is a low probability.

The irony is that high oil prices could hurt Trump in the lower 49, while helping Republicans in Alaska.
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NeverAgainsSock
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« Reply #6 on: October 01, 2019, 01:52:06 PM »

I think Alaska is SO ignored in national politics. I mean a near nobody in Alaska politics was within spitting distance of an incumbent who has literally been in the House for more than 75% of Alaska's statehood just last year.

Sullivan underperformed the national year by 6 points (48-46 Begich) and his state's average by 13!

If Gross gets it going (and the ad looks pretty fantastic), there's a good shot here.
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #7 on: October 01, 2019, 02:12:10 PM »

Safe R
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: October 01, 2019, 02:25:29 PM »

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Coldstream
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« Reply #9 on: October 01, 2019, 02:26:46 PM »

I expect Sullivan will win narrowly (far behind Trump, like 5-7 pts) but I could see him losing if the problems in Alaska don’t get better.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #10 on: October 02, 2019, 06:57:21 PM »

#Populism through the roof here.
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Galeel
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« Reply #11 on: October 03, 2019, 07:27:29 AM »

Likely R
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Badger
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« Reply #12 on: October 03, 2019, 10:41:57 AM »

Likely are, but this guy is f****** Superman
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: October 03, 2019, 07:36:16 PM »

AK like KS is changing I can see Gross winning
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Pericles
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« Reply #14 on: October 03, 2019, 08:05:01 PM »

Sullivan is definitely favored, but this and TX/KS/MT are the Lean/Likely R races where I think there’s at least some "upset" potential.

TX is different from the others-in most scenarios it is closer and the upset would be caused by a change in the state's partisanship. In KS, MT, and AK there is probably a wider range of possible outcomes and candidate quality would be the cause of any upset. If the election were today TX would be Likely R while the others would be Safe R but projecting ahead all are probably Likely R (maybe TX is Lean R, it's on the edge of Likely and Lean imo).
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #15 on: October 15, 2019, 04:44:57 PM »



WOAAAAAAAH! Not bad! Sleeper Likely R race.
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Canis
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« Reply #16 on: October 15, 2019, 05:54:58 PM »

Damn yall right im moving this from Safe to Likely could be a sleeper but who knows Alaska is weird
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TWTown
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« Reply #17 on: October 16, 2019, 03:28:37 AM »

This should never have been Safe R in the first place and this financial coup is a pretty big one for a state like Alaska. Danny isn’t out of the woods yet.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #18 on: October 16, 2019, 05:21:29 AM »

AK should not be taken for granted, it uses its oil revenues to create a program Yang offers: 1K a mnth for its residents. Its a blue collar red state; as a result, Dems can compete in this once conservative state
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Donerail
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« Reply #19 on: October 16, 2019, 09:35:52 AM »

Alaska is a bizarre state with weird politics and should never be safe anything
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Jon Tester
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« Reply #20 on: October 17, 2019, 10:34:21 PM »

The interesting thing about Alaska is that the rural areas are generally pretty liberal due to the high percentage of Alaska Natives such as the Inuit in the Arctic and the Tlingit in southeast.  I wonder if the suburban trends of the lower 48 will extend up to the suburbs of Anchorage?
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voice_of_resistance
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« Reply #21 on: October 17, 2019, 10:53:54 PM »

if they do Alaska is competitive. some 40-45 percent of the state's population lives in Anchorage alone. If Anchorage suburbs become purple instead of red the state as a whole goes from Likely to Lean R.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #22 on: October 18, 2019, 08:35:15 PM »

Alaska is a bizarre state with weird politics and should never be safe anything
Essentially this.

Alaska breaks all the rules.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #23 on: June 02, 2020, 02:49:34 PM »

Gross has a few opponents in the Democratic primary, but most of them are no-names. However, in the last few days of filing, Edgar Blatchford has entered as a party member seeking the nomination in AK. He was the runner up in 2016's primary and is the former editor of Alaska Newspapers in addition to having held several roles in state and local gov (including Mayor of Seward from 1999 to 2003 and commissioner of the state Dept. of Commerce). I'd said the primary was safe Gross, but he might now get something approaching a real race.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #24 on: June 02, 2020, 03:30:03 PM »

Wave insurance,  but under these conditions,  yes Dr Gross can win
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