LA GOV Rispone in Second Place, Edwards With 46-21-18 Lead

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://mobile.twitter.com/samkarlin/status/1175967985858727936

Not looking good for us folks.

[Matty]

15% undecided.

it's easily possible for JBE to get enough of those to get over 50

[Epaminondas]

If just 50% of those undecideds sit out the election, that would make it a
50-23-20 split.

[Politician]

"tenuous"

[Skye]

"tenuous"

I took it as "he's still below 50%" so a runoff is still a possibility.

[Gass3268]

What he heck are you talking about Bagel? This is a 5 point increase for JBE in one week.

[Frenchrepublican]

It’s not a bad poll for JBE. Besides 48% of undecided voters lean toward him. Now I hope this poll is wrong and the election goes to a runoff where JBE could lose in a upset.

[Badger]

While a runoff is still a distinct possibility, LOL at Bagels chronic doom-and-gloom predictions.

[Del Tachi]

Half of the these undecides lean JBE, he's good as gold even if LA-GOV does go to a runoff.

[Xing]

I'd say it's pretty much a coin flip whether this goes to a run-off, but I would say it's more likely that Rispone makes the run-off than it is that Edwards loses the run-off (not impossible, but not looking likely.)

[MT Treasurer]

Less than a year ago, a Republican governor won reelection by double digits in Maryland in a Democratic tsunami and a Democrat won a federal race in a Trump +42 state.

"Polarization" isn’t the be-all and end-all.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

JBE will win this race along with Beshear. JBE has done everything right in this state

[Person Man]

Less than a year ago, a Republican governor won reelection by double digits in Maryland in a Democratic tsunami and a Democrat won a federal race in a Trump +42 state.

"Polarization" isn’t the be-all and end-all.

Didn't 3 Republican governors win in heavily Democratic states?  Phil Scott, Charles Baker, and Larry Hogan?

It also helps that they basically let the legislature do whatever they want with identity issues and JBE has done the same in Louisiana.

[IceSpear]

If JBE finishes a hair short of 50% he's probably still favored in the runoff, but I'd prefer to avoid introducing that variable.

[lfromnj]

I thought D's generally over perform in the runoff compared to the GE in LA?

[KaiserDave]

A strong Lean D, especially with 15% undecided.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Rispone in 2nd place is just plain embarrassing for Abraham lol