2020 Poll Hype Thread

[Bootes Void]

You guys need to stop hating on Quinnipiac. They are a good firm, It called VA 2017 right along with a couple of 2018 races.

Anyways,
Ohio:Biden +3
Georgia:Biden +3

[VAR]

You all need to chill out. I’m sure Quinnipiac  will put out a decent poll this time!

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

You all need to chill out. I’m sure Quinnipiac  will put out a decent poll this time!

*Snort*

[Asta]

GA: +2 Biden
OH: +1 Biden

[Landslide Lyndon]

https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1316441663548596224

[vitoNova]

What I miss most about the Obama era were all these cheeky poll teasers.  

Example:  "Our poll over the weekend in XYZ County found that 44% of registered Republicans would never vote for someone who wears magic underwear."

Those were the Glory Days.   Trump's victory seems to have humbled the lib pollsters. 
 

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1316441663548596224

Last time they polled AZ was before RBG passed. They had Biden+4 RV/+2 LV.

Biden+5

[Asta]

Biden +3 in low turnout, +4 in medium/high turnout model

[Lincoln Republican]

New USC poll shows Biden with a 13 point lead over Trump.

They refer to this lead as "substantial" with only 2 1/2 weeks before the election.

Given his erratic behavior, is Trump now in panic mode?

[mijan]

AZ +4 Biden

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Trump really only needs FL and PA, both of which are getting much closer. It’s your funeral, I suppose.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Trump really only needs FL and PA, both of which are getting much closer. It’s your funeral, I suppose.

Is the margin in PA getting closer?

[mijan]

Trump really only needs FL and PA, both of which are getting much closer. It’s your funeral, I suppose.

He will lose both states.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Trump really only needs FL and PA, both of which are getting much closer. It’s your funeral, I suppose.

Is the margin in PA getting closer?

It is not.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Trump really only needs FL and PA, both of which are getting much closer. It’s your funeral, I suppose.

Biden's lead has actually grown slightly the last few weeks from 6% to 7%

[Lincoln Republican]

Sorry all you loyal blue avatars out there.

Your hero Trump is goin' down and taking the Republican party with him.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Trump really only needs FL and PA, both of which are getting much closer. It’s your funeral, I suppose.

Is the margin in PA getting closer?

Recent PA poll, Biden +2. I’ll take that heading into the election should it hold.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Trump really only needs FL and PA, both of which are getting much closer. It’s your funeral, I suppose.

Is the margin in PA getting closer?

Recent PA poll, Biden +2. I’ll take that heading into the election should it hold.

Most recent PA polls.

Biden +5, +4, +7, +2.

[redjohn]

Trump really only needs FL and PA, both of which are getting much closer. It’s your funeral, I suppose.

Is the margin in PA getting closer?

Recent PA poll, Biden +2. I’ll take that heading into the election should it hold.

Give it up, Biden leads by 7+ in every recent high-quality PA poll. Cherry-picking low-quality polls that *still show Biden with a lead* isn't going to help the incumbent President who's badly trailing in the state most critical to his re-election.

[GeneralMacArthur]

Trafalgar polls don't count bro

[Ljube]

Trafalgar polls don't count bro

Why not? How do we know they are wrong?

[Flabuckeye]

The gig is up on trafalgar.  Totally figured out how they manipulate the numbers.   Look at the last page every report.  It gives you the relative % of the poll by congressional district.  In EVERY case the lower percentage districts are the democratic districts.   They over sample and then cut back the dem districts to give the narrative they want. Trump by 2 in Florida is amazing news bc that means Biden is truly ahead.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

The gig is up on trafalgar.  Totally figured out how they manipulate the numbers.   Look at the last page every report.  It gives you the relative % of the poll by congressional district.  In EVERY case the lower percentage districts are the democratic districts.   They over sample and then cut back the dem districts to give the narrative they want. Trump by 2 in Florida is amazing news bc that means Biden is truly ahead.

If that is how they do it then they need to continue doing it that way. Otherwise their house effect is erased and their polls actually tell us less than they did before.
Also, welcome to the forum.

[republican1993]

The gig is up on trafalgar.  Totally figured out how they manipulate the numbers.   Look at the last page every report.  It gives you the relative % of the poll by congressional district.  In EVERY case the lower percentage districts are the democratic districts.   They over sample and then cut back the dem districts to give the narrative they want. Trump by 2 in Florida is amazing news bc that means Biden is truly ahead.

yup we all know he's up 5 points in florida 

[redjohn]

The gig is up on trafalgar.  Totally figured out how they manipulate the numbers.   Look at the last page every report.  It gives you the relative % of the poll by congressional district.  In EVERY case the lower percentage districts are the democratic districts.   They over sample and then cut back the dem districts to give the narrative they want. Trump by 2 in Florida is amazing news bc that means Biden is truly ahead.

yup we all know he's up 5 points in florida 

I swear to god, if Biden wins 413 electoral votes you people will come on here a week later with "BuT BiDeN DiDn'T WiN SoUtH CaRoLinA". I don't think the cognitive dissonance will ever end.