CO-AARP: Biden +9
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  CO-AARP: Biden +9
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Author Topic: CO-AARP: Biden +9  (Read 1204 times)
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Junior Chimp
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« on: September 16, 2019, 07:45:37 PM »

https://www.aarp.org/research/topics/politics/info-2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey.html
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NYDem
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« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2019, 08:56:30 PM »
« Edited: September 16, 2019, 09:11:26 PM by NYDem »

Main Points:

Presidential: Biden 51 - Trump 42  (Biden +9)
Approval: Disapprove 55 - Approve 43  (-12 Approval)

Senate Generic Ballot: D 44 - R 42  (D+2)
Senate: Gardner 45 - Johnson 39  (Gardner +6)
Approval: Approve 43 - Disapprove 40  (+3 Approval)

Sample
Party Reg: Democratic 33 - Republican 33 - Independent 20
Ideology: Conservative 35 - Moderate 36 - Liberal 24
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2019, 09:09:04 PM »

Main Points:

Presidential: Biden 52 - Trump 41  (Biden +9)
Approval: Disapprove 55 - Approve 43  (-12 Approval)

Senate Generic Ballot: D 44 - R 42  (D+2)
Senate: Gardner 45 - Johnson 39  (Gardner +6)
Approval: Approve 43 - Disapprove 40  (+3 Approval)

Sample
Party Reg: Democratic 33 - Republican 33 - Independent 20
Ideology: Conservative 35 - Moderate 36 - Liberal 24


Biden/Trump is 51-42, not 52-41 (which would be +11).
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NYDem
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« Reply #3 on: September 16, 2019, 09:11:47 PM »
« Edited: September 16, 2019, 09:14:50 PM by NYDem »

Main Points:

Presidential: Biden 52 - Trump 41  (Biden +9)
Approval: Disapprove 55 - Approve 43  (-12 Approval)

Senate Generic Ballot: D 44 - R 42  (D+2)
Senate: Gardner 45 - Johnson 39  (Gardner +6)
Approval: Approve 43 - Disapprove 40  (+3 Approval)

Sample
Party Reg: Democratic 33 - Republican 33 - Independent 20
Ideology: Conservative 35 - Moderate 36 - Liberal 24


Biden/Trump is 51-42, not 52-41 (which would be +11).
Fixed.
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S019
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« Reply #4 on: September 16, 2019, 10:12:15 PM »

This is actually quite believable, and remember that the Senate poll had a large Republican bias, Biden by double digits is not at all impossible, here
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redjohn
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« Reply #5 on: September 17, 2019, 10:11:19 AM »

I think Biden beating Trump by 9 in Colorado is possible, even if I'd assume it's more likely the margin is a little lower than that. Would spell good news for Democrats in the west, and obviously Dems would flip the Senate seat.
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