2008 with Gore as president for two terms and everything else remains the same.

[538Electoral]

McCain - 321
Obama - 217

Voter fatigue and an underwhelming economy allows McCain to cruise to victory.

[538Electoral]

Oops, Forgot to also give McCain ME-02. Make that 322-216

[morgankingsley]

Give McCain Wisconsin and I actually agree. How do you think 12 and 16 go now

[538Electoral]

2012: We'll assume like Obama, McCain does slightly worse than in 2008 but still wins a comfortable victory. Obama runs again in 2012.

311-227

Conventional wisdom says a Democrat wins in 2016, But I think if Democrats could pull off more than 2 victories in a row, So could Republicans. We'll do Romney vs. Clinton in this scenario.

If McCain turns out to be very popular throughout his second term.

356-182

If things remained about the same. We'd probably see the same map as the 2012 scenario I described above. Perhaps with Republicans also winning ME-02.

If McCain completely collapses during his second term.

348-190

[Sir Mohamed]

Al Gore as two term prez probably means John McCain was the GOP nominee in 2004 and lost. I think Mitt Romney would have been the nominee in 2008, defeating W in another attempt for the nod.

✓ Former Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA)/Governor Mark Sanford (R-SC): 295 EVs.; 50.6%
Senator Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Evan Bayh (D-IN): 243 EVs.; 47.2%

[McGarnagle]

Obama likely wouldn't have been the nominee if Gore were President for two terms

The 2008 nominee would have probably been Hillary or Kerry after two terms of Gore

Obama would have ran in the future - possibly setting up a 2016 showdown between him and Trump

Like Sir Mohamed said, if Bush lost narrowly in 2000, McCain probably would have lost narrowly in 2004. It probably would be the real map plus IA, NM and OH for the Democrats. It's doubtful a Gore Administration would have invaded Iraq - but it still might have bombed Baghdad like Clinton.