LA Gov race heading to runoff

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/politics/article_284b8438-d4b5-11e9-a813-375cc60d6770.html

D-GOV Edwards 47%
R-Abraham 26
R-Rispone 16

[2016]

The Open Primary is Oct. 12th.

I actually expect Governor Edwards to win this with 50% + 1. His Numbers are similar what Bobby Jindal had in 2011.

[DINGO Joe]

I think the only thing that could prevent Edwards from getting over 50% is if the fake Landrieu gets like 4% of the vote.  Abraham and Rispone are both taking shots at each other as that's the real battle.

[soundchaser]

I think the only thing that could prevent Edwards from getting over 50% is if the fake Landrieu gets like 4% of the vote.  Abraham and Rispone are both taking shots at each other as that's the real battle.

Not sure whether Landrieu dropping the n-word on a radio show will help or hurt his candidacy, but either way I still think Edwards will be fine and avoid a runoff. Anecdotally, a lot of Rispone signs in my area.

[DINGO Joe]

I think the only thing that could prevent Edwards from getting over 50% is if the fake Landrieu gets like 4% of the vote.  Abraham and Rispone are both taking shots at each other as that's the real battle.

Not sure whether Landrieu dropping the n-word on a radio show will help or hurt his candidacy, but either way I still think Edwards will be fine and avoid a runoff. Anecdotally, a lot of Rispone signs in my area.

Nobody knows he did that.  The only way he gets votes is low information voters thinking they're voting for the mayor or Senator.

[Frenchrepublican]

Trump favourable/unfavourable numbers are 54/43 which seems quite low, maybe this poll is oversampling Democratic voters. I’m still betting on a runoff.

[DINGO Joe]

I think the only thing that could prevent Edwards from getting over 50% is if the fake Landrieu gets like 4% of the vote.  Abraham and Rispone are both taking shots at each other as that's the real battle.

Not sure whether Landrieu dropping the n-word on a radio show will help or hurt his candidacy, but either way I still think Edwards will be fine and avoid a runoff. Anecdotally, a lot of Rispone signs in my area.

Of course, Abraham and Rispone have no presence in Orleans, but I've seen nothing in Jefferson for them either.  Granted it was Vitter's home so you expected he'd have Jefferson covered, but it's just a total blank this year.

[soundchaser]

Of course, Abraham and Rispone have no presence in Orleans, but I've seen nothing in Jefferson for them either.  Granted it was Vitter's home so you expected he'd have Jefferson covered, but it's just a total blank this year.

I disagree -- drive down Clearview and you'll see tons.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

There should not even be a question of this race being competitive. JBE is the perfect governor for LA on almost every issue. Fortunately this is a state where runoff turnout actually favors Democrats.

[DINGO Joe]

Of course, Abraham and Rispone have no presence in Orleans, but I've seen nothing in Jefferson for them either.  Granted it was Vitter's home so you expected he'd have Jefferson covered, but it's just a total blank this year.

I disagree -- drive down Clearview and you'll see tons.

Well, honestly I don't go that far out Causeway or Cleary is what I'll drive down and Causeway is usually good for plenty of signs and it has some for everything but Abraham and Rispone.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

After last night, we have a perfect storm again for a rural v urban divide on guns.   The Dems cant take anything for granted. They are beating GOP in red territory, but NRA, just like 2016, is an important lobby.

The GOP held serve on their own territory NC-9, and JBE is in red state territory. Guns control is a blue state issue, not a red state issue. I dont think Hood will beat Reeves, now.

[Nutmeg]

Misleading thread title: "The news is good for Edwards because it showed he likely would have won the election had it been held when the survey was conducted, Sept. 3-6, Pinsonat said, once the undecided votes are redistributed."

[Calthrina950]

There should not even be a question of this race being competitive. JBE is the perfect governor for LA on almost every issue. Fortunately this is a state where runoff turnout actually favors Democrats.

One word for you: polarization.

[ElectionsGuy]

If he's polling at 47% he has a good chance of avoiding a runoff.