Harvard-Harris: Biden 32, Sanders 16, Warren 13

[ProudModerate2]

Biden 32
Sanders 16
Warren 13
Harris 7
Buttigieg 4
O'Rourke 4
Booker 3
Yang 2
Gabbard 1
Castro 1
Klobuchar 1

August 26-28, 2019
2,531 registered voters

CrossTabs here ... https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/HHP_August2019_Crosstabs_RegisteredVoters.pdf

[Eraserhead]

Damn, Warren is behind Sanders in this one. I guess she better drop out!

[Gracile]

Seems like the polls are consistent in showing Harris going back to her numbers before the first debate.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Seems like the polls are consistent in showing Harris going back to her numbers before the first debate.

Seems that’s the only thing they’re consistent about.

[eric82oslo]

I call BS on Harvard-Harris. Biden is not that far ahead, sorry. No other pollster is showing the same gap. No other pollster (hardly) is showing Biden with more support at this point than Warren and Sanders combined. A few weeks or months ago, sure, but not today.

[eric82oslo]

Damn, Warren is behind Sanders in this one. I guess she better drop out!

Biden is the one to drop out, get the memo.

[Sorenroy]

Change and Full Numbers:

It should be noted that, while the poll was done of 2,531 registered voters, only 985 people are in this Democratic Primary subsample. Adding in independents or other voters changes the numbers, but these are what appear to be being reported, so these are what we'll go with. Change is from their previous poll conducted a month ago. Candidates are listed in the order that they appear in the PDF.

Biden — 32% (-2%)
Sanders — 16% (-1%)
Warren — 13% (+5%)
Harris — 7% (-2%)
Buttigieg — 4% (±0)
O'Rourke — 4% (+1%)
Booker — 3% (+1%)
Yang — 2% (+1%)
Klobuchar — 1% (±0)
Gabbard — 1% (+1%)
Steyer — 1% (±0)
Delaney — 1% (+1%)
Castro — 1% (±0)
Gillibrand — 0% (±0)
Williamson — 0% (±0)
Messam — 0% (±0)
Gravel — 0% (-1%)
Swalwell — 0% (±0)
Ryan — 0% (-1%)

[eric82oslo]

The reason Yang is only at 2% in this poll is because his support is much higher among independents (not included in these numbers, even as they're allowed to vote in almost half of all states I believe) and among young voters, who are consistently being underpolled.

By the way, they should stop polling Gillibrand, Gravel and Swalwell. The pollster is clearly not paying attention to who is dropping out and not.

[Mr. Morden]

By the way, they should stop polling Gillibrand, Gravel and Swalwell. The pollster is clearly not paying attention to who is dropping out and not.

This is the pollster that had been polling Bloomberg rather than de Blasio because they were confused about which NYC mayor was running.  Now they've finally dropped Bloomberg, but have not managed to start including de Blasio (despited still including Swalwell!).

[Mr. Morden]

fav / unfav % among all voters:
Biden 48/40% for +8%
Sanders 47/44% for +3%
Buttigieg 29/30% for -1%
Warren 37/41% for -4%
O’Rourke 30/36% for -6%
Harris 33/41% for -8%
Trump 42/54% for -12%

[History505]

I call BS on Harvard-Harris. Biden is not that far ahead, sorry. No other pollster is showing the same gap. No other pollster (hardly) is showing Biden with more support at this point than Warren and Sanders combined. A few weeks or months ago, sure, but not today.

Lol.

[SN2903]

Trump's approval still steady at 45%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Warren is gonna win the nomination she at 12%, she is at 24% right behind Biden and her momentum is building for 9/12

[NOVA Green]

fav / unfav % among all voters:
Biden 48/40% for +8%
Sanders 47/44% for +3%
Buttigieg 29/30% for -1%
Warren 37/41% for -4%
O’Rourke 30/36% for -6%
Harris 33/41% for -8%
Trump 42/54% for -12%

Fav/Unfavs make sense once you include MOE variants....

Still Biden and Sanders are much better known among American RVs than most of the other DEM Contenders.

Key point is that Trump is at -12% Favs with 96% reporting.....

Could just be some of them are voters that think he hasn't done enough as part of his various "policy positions" but will vote for him in the end?    IDK..... trippy election over a year away.