MA-Change Research (D Primary): Kennedy Up 17 Against Markey

[Free Bird]

https://commonwealthmagazine.org/politics/kennedy-holds-17-point-lead-over-markey-in-poll/

[Politician]

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sen-elect Kennedy, great news

[user12345]

Internal Blanching incoming?

[OneJ]

I won't put too much stock into this as this is Change Research, but things don't look good for Markey at the moment all things considered.

[Skye]

BOI

(I wouldn't trust Change Research polls that much anyway).

[Gracile]

Not very good numbers for Markey, but it is Change Research so...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hopefully, Cardin primary is forthcoming, next.

[Free Bird]

Hopefully, Cardin primary is forthcoming, next.

Dude that's 5 years away and he'll probably retire

[Strong Candidate]

They also polled the general election, although Baker has given no indication he wants to run, so the numbers are probably useless:

Baker would just squeak out a victory if the respondents to the poll were to decide a contest between Baker and the incumbent senator. When leaners were pressed to choose a candidate, Baker topped Markey 45-44 in the poll. Kennedy, meanwhile, would beat Baker 49-41, according to the poll, which found Baker would trounce Liss-Riordan 54-35 and Pemberton 56-31.

[Calthrina950]

They also polled the general election, although Baker has given no indication he wants to run, so the numbers are probably useless:

Baker would just squeak out a victory if the respondents to the poll were to decide a contest between Baker and the incumbent senator. When leaners were pressed to choose a candidate, Baker topped Markey 45-44 in the poll. Kennedy, meanwhile, would beat Baker 49-41, according to the poll, which found Baker would trounce Liss-Riordan 54-35 and Pemberton 56-31.

I highly doubt these numbers. Baker is a popular Governor, but Massachusetts will not be sending another Republican to the Senate for the foreseeable future. Not even someone like Baker. He would make it a single-digit race against Markey or any other Democrat, but would still not make it. A gubernatorial race is very different from a Senatorial race. The conditions that allowed Scott Brown to pull off his upset in 2010 are not present now.

[SnowLabrador]

Kennedy is my rep. He would easily defeat Markey in the primary; no one around here knows who Markey is.

[Donerail]

People of Massachusetts are very smart and should definitely be allowed to vote

https://twitter.com/skoczela/status/1167182153039433729

Markey should change his name to "Ed Kennedy" and then he'd be fine!

[Strong Candidate]

They also polled the general election, although Baker has given no indication he wants to run, so the numbers are probably useless:

Baker would just squeak out a victory if the respondents to the poll were to decide a contest between Baker and the incumbent senator. When leaners were pressed to choose a candidate, Baker topped Markey 45-44 in the poll. Kennedy, meanwhile, would beat Baker 49-41, according to the poll, which found Baker would trounce Liss-Riordan 54-35 and Pemberton 56-31.

I highly doubt these numbers. Baker is a popular Governor, but Massachusetts will not be sending another Republican to the Senate for the foreseeable future. Not even someone like Baker. He would make it a single-digit race against Markey or any other Democrat, but would still not make it. A gubernatorial race is very different from a Senatorial race. The conditions that allowed Scott Brown to pull off his upset in 2010 are not present now.

I believe these numbers. After all, as you say, Baker is very popular and he hasn't been seriously attacked politically since 2014. They almost certainly would not hold up over the course of a campaign though.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Ugh the Kennnedy’s are such a revolting clan. They represent the antithesis to everything America was founded on. Hopefully Markey just retires instead and allows someone capable of beating JoKe III like Pressley to run

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

They also polled the general election, although Baker has given no indication he wants to run, so the numbers are probably useless:

Baker would just squeak out a victory if the respondents to the poll were to decide a contest between Baker and the incumbent senator. When leaners were pressed to choose a candidate, Baker topped Markey 45-44 in the poll. Kennedy, meanwhile, would beat Baker 49-41, according to the poll, which found Baker would trounce Liss-Riordan 54-35 and Pemberton 56-31.

I highly doubt these numbers. Baker is a popular Governor, but Massachusetts will not be sending another Republican to the Senate for the foreseeable future. Not even someone like Baker. He would make it a single-digit race against Markey or any other Democrat, but would still not make it. A gubernatorial race is very different from a Senatorial race. The conditions that allowed Scott Brown to pull off his upset in 2010 are not present now.

I believe these numbers. After all, as you say, Baker is very popular and he hasn't been seriously attacked politically since 2014. They almost certainly would not hold up over the course of a campaign though.

Yeah the numbers look almost exactly like the early polls of the 1996 race where Weld was narrowly leading Kerry by like 44-42. They got Weld’s percent of the vote correct!

[Oryxslayer]

Ugh the Kennnedy’s are such a revolting clan. They represent the antithesis to everything America was founded on. Hopefully Markey just retires instead and allows someone capable of beating JoKe III like Pressley to run

If Markey retires, Moulton, Pressely, and maybe a few others throw their hat into the ring, turnng it into a clown car. And that still likely sees Kennedy win because the Kennedy name is even more powerful against a  fragmented opposition.

[Calthrina950]

Ugh the Kennnedy’s are such a revolting clan. They represent the antithesis to everything America was founded on. Hopefully Markey just retires instead and allows someone capable of beating JoKe III like Pressley to run

If Markey retires, Moulton, Pressely, and maybe a few others throw their hat into the ring, turnng it into a clown car. And that still likely sees Kennedy win because the Kennedy name is even more powerful against a  fragmented opposition.

I wonder what the outcome of a Kennedy vs. Pressley race might be. I have no doubts that Kennedy would defeat Moulton, but Pressley is someone who I can see pulling off an upset, like she did against Capuano last year. Now, I don't like Pressley at all, but I would even prefer her in the Senate to yet another Kennedy.

[Calthrina950]

They also polled the general election, although Baker has given no indication he wants to run, so the numbers are probably useless:

Baker would just squeak out a victory if the respondents to the poll were to decide a contest between Baker and the incumbent senator. When leaners were pressed to choose a candidate, Baker topped Markey 45-44 in the poll. Kennedy, meanwhile, would beat Baker 49-41, according to the poll, which found Baker would trounce Liss-Riordan 54-35 and Pemberton 56-31.

I highly doubt these numbers. Baker is a popular Governor, but Massachusetts will not be sending another Republican to the Senate for the foreseeable future. Not even someone like Baker. He would make it a single-digit race against Markey or any other Democrat, but would still not make it. A gubernatorial race is very different from a Senatorial race. The conditions that allowed Scott Brown to pull off his upset in 2010 are not present now.

I believe these numbers. After all, as you say, Baker is very popular and he hasn't been seriously attacked politically since 2014. They almost certainly would not hold up over the course of a campaign though.

I more so disbelieve the numbers concerning Liss-Riordan and Pemberton, as I believe even those two would defeat Baker by at least mid to high single digits. And when it comes down to it, Markey would best him also. Kennedy of course, would defeat Baker easily.

[YE]

This is depressing.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Happy to see Senator Joe Kennedy join his incoming colleges: Kelly, Romanoff, Franken, Gideon and Cunningham, should Democrats win with Biden

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Seems like it. Atlas was pretty sour on Pressley before she won.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

They also polled the general election, although Baker has given no indication he wants to run, so the numbers are probably useless:

Baker would just squeak out a victory if the respondents to the poll were to decide a contest between Baker and the incumbent senator. When leaners were pressed to choose a candidate, Baker topped Markey 45-44 in the poll. Kennedy, meanwhile, would beat Baker 49-41, according to the poll, which found Baker would trounce Liss-Riordan 54-35 and Pemberton 56-31.

Bill Weld, Linda Lingle, and Phil Bredesen approve!

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

It would be pretty awful if the one successful Senate primary against an incumbent Democrat in 14 years is from the right. So many awful Senators like our confederate flag raising Feinstein survived.

[AtorBoltox]

We can only hope this follows the course of Teddy's presidential run