Good news and bad news for JBE

[Frenchrepublican]

Jungle primary :
Edwards : 52% (-6 compared to April)
Republicans : 44%
Small candidates : 4%

Runoff :

JBE : 53%
Abraham : 47%

JBE : 55%
Rispone : 45%

The poll looks a bit strange as undecided voters are allocated to candidates depending of their demographics.
 

https://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/politics/elections/article_af53bed4-c9dc-11e9-b0a5-9772b904e294.html

Two interesting facts :

''Kennedy estimated that Abraham had about 23% and Rispone 7% in April versus 25% and 19%, respectively in August.''

''In April, 52% of voters rated Edwards favorably while only 30% rated him unfavorably. In August, Edwards’ favorable-to-unfavorable gap had narrowed to 45% to 41%.''

[Politician]

Likely D.

[Frenchrepublican]

Likely D.

Nah, tilt D (lean D at worst)

[Skye]

It doesn't say in the article, but the pollster is Market Research Insight.

Even more stunning is that they apparently had Edwards at 58% a few months ago(?).

[Pandaguineapig]

Seems a bit weird to allocate undecideds based off of assumptions rather than pushing them

[IceSpear]

Luckily for JBE he has two bites at the apple. He can either win outright in the jungle, or if he falls below a majority he can hope that Dem turnout favors him in the runoff. But the latter would certainly not be ideal.

[DINGO Joe]

Not noted in the OP is that Abraham (the official GOP candidate) and Rispone are quite close in this poll.  Abraham has struggled to raise any cash will Rispone has been spending his own money.  Given that Abraham comes from an irrelevant corner of the state he has zero name recognition.  It is not a given that he can finish ahead of Rispone.

[MT Treasurer]

Jungle primary :
Edwards : 52% (-6 compared to April)
Republicans : 44%
Small candidates : 4%

It doesn’t really work like that. Not every single Abraham or Rispone voter will vote for the other Republican or even their choice in October in November, and some won’t vote at all in the runoff election, so you should always list the numbers for all the individual candidates instead of just adding up the percentages of all Republican candidates.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Luckily for JBE he has two bites at the apple. He can either win outright in the jungle, or if he falls below a majority he can hope that Dem turnout favors him in the runoff. But the latter would certainly not be ideal.

In LA dems usually do better in the runoff

[Young Conservative]

Jungle primary :
Edwards : 52% (-6 compared to April)
Republicans : 44%
Small candidates : 4%

It doesn’t really work like that. Not every single Abraham or Rispone voter will vote for the other Republican or even their choice in October in November, and some won’t vote at all in the runoff election, so you should always list the numbers for all the individual candidates instead of just adding up the percentages of all Republican candidates.

that's why they also polled the runoff...

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

LA 2020--> Lean D with scrappy Joe.