Nevada (Gravis) Biden Leads a Splintered Field

[mds32]

Nevada Democratic Caucus
Biden 25%
Warren 15%
Sanders 10%
Harris 9%
Steyer 6%
Buttigieg 5%
Booker 3%
Gabbard 2%
Yang 2%
Klobachar 2%
Bennett 2%
de Blasio 2%
Gillibrand 1%
Deleany 1%
Castro 1%
Bullock 1%
Ryan 1%

https://orlando-politics.com/2019/08/20/gravis-marketing-nevada-poll-democratic-caucus-race-competitive/

[eric82oslo]

For whatever reason they forgot to interview young voters and members of the #YangGang. Most Asians are incredibly loyal to Yang (especially young Asians of course), and Nevada has among the top 3-4 highest percentage of Asians of any state. For sure Yang will do incredibly well in the state, unless he flops completely in Iowa and New Hampshire first.

[mds32]

They didn't forget. I forgot to add it to the column is all.
 

[eric82oslo]

They didn't forget. I forgot to add it to the column is all.
 

Oh lol. You're forgiven.

Strong numbers for Steyer in another early state poll!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is the best Sanders can do in a caucus state 10%

[ProudModerate2]

Warren seems to be the only real threat to Biden in Nevada.
But only if she can do well in Iowa/NH.

[Former Crackhead Mike Lindell]

Strong numbers for Steyer in another early state poll!

Steyer continuing to prove he's running one of the smartest campaigns

[Mr. Morden]

The cross tabs are....something:

white:
Biden 28%
Warren 20%
Steyer 8%
Harris 8%
Sanders 7%

black:
Biden 22%
Harris 19%
Sanders 19%
de Blasio 6%
Castro 5%
Warren 5%

Hispanic:
Biden 19%
Sanders 13%
Warren 10%
Gabbard 6%
Harris 6%

age 18-29:
Sanders 24%
Biden 16%
Steyer 9%
Klobuchar 8%
Yang 8%

age 65+:
Biden 44%
Warren 11%
Harris 8%
Steyer 7%
Buttigieg 5%
Sanders 5%

men:
Warren 21%
Biden 20%
Harris 10%
Steyer 7%
Sanders 7%

women:
Biden 29%
Sanders 13%
Warren 11%
Harris 8%
Steyer 5%
Buttigieg 5%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Everytine there is a battleground state, whethere its IA, NH or NV, Biden dies well in due to his lead in the key states. However, its still 3 mnths til IA and its a 3 person race; and a Buttigieg or Warren win IA will help Warren

[eric82oslo]

Klobuchar at 8% with young voters surprises me a great deal. The other crosstabs are not too out of the ordinary though, and at least somewhat realistic.

[eric82oslo]

Here are the demographics - highlighted and bolded - in which each candidate does best:


white:
Biden 28%
Warren 20%
Steyer 8%
Harris 8%
Sanders 7%

black:
Biden 22%
Harris 19%
Sanders 19%
de Blasio 6%
Castro 5%
Warren 5%

Hispanic:
Biden 19%
Sanders 13%
Warren 10%
Gabbard 6%
Harris 6%

age 18-29:
Sanders 24%
Biden 16%
Steyer 9%
Klobuchar 8%
Yang 8%

age 65+:
Biden 44%
Warren 11%
Harris 8%
Steyer 7%
Buttigieg 5%
Sanders 5%

men:
Warren 21%
Biden 20%
Harris 10%
Steyer 7%
Sanders 7%

women:
Biden 29%
Sanders 13%
Warren 11%
Harris 8%
Steyer 5%
Buttigieg 5%


No less than 11 candidates in one or more cross tabs.

[Eraserhead]

Those crosstabs are hilarious. Gravis never fails.

[cvparty]

The cross tabs are....something:

white:
Biden 28%
Warren 20%
Steyer 8%
Harris 8%
Sanders 7%

black:
Biden 22%
Harris 19%
Sanders 19%
de Blasio 6%
Castro 5%
Warren 5%

Hispanic:
Biden 19%
Sanders 13%
Warren 10%
Gabbard 6%
Harris 6%

age 18-29:
Sanders 24%
Biden 16%
Steyer 9%
Klobuchar 8%
Yang 8%

age 65+:
Biden 44%
Warren 11%
Harris 8%
Steyer 7%
Buttigieg 5%
Sanders 5%

men:
Warren 21%
Biden 20%
Harris 10%
Steyer 7%
Sanders 7%

women:
Biden 29%
Sanders 13%
Warren 11%
Harris 8%
Steyer 5%
Buttigieg 5%

>gravis
>nevada
>CROSSTABS