MT-Eaton Research (R)/Republican internal: Gianforte +9 over Cooney
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Author Topic: MT-Eaton Research (R)/Republican internal: Gianforte +9 over Cooney  (Read 847 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: August 10, 2019, 11:48:58 PM »
« edited: August 10, 2019, 11:55:08 PM by MT Treasurer »


July 7-10, 500 likely voters, MoE 4.0%

It’s a partisan poll (Eaton is the former executive director of the Montana Republican Party and a Republican consultant) which should be taken with a ton of salt, but it’s our first poll for this race.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2019, 12:09:39 AM »
Pretty weak numbers for Gianforte.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #2 on: August 11, 2019, 04:31:18 PM »
Lean/Likely R. Polarization is increasing, and if Cooney's against Fox, the Democrats should just give up.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
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« Reply #3 on: August 11, 2019, 04:35:41 PM »
Lean R for now
Safe R if Gianforte body slams another journalist because #populism Purple heart /s
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: August 11, 2019, 05:23:38 PM »
R's are favored but it can still tilt to Dems. MO Gov race should be fascinating, with upstart Nicole Galloway
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #5 on: August 11, 2019, 06:01:17 PM »

You’re really a one-trick pony, huh?
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Politician
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« Reply #6 on: August 11, 2019, 06:49:38 PM »
The polls could show Trump losing by double digits and he would somehow still argue Trump has a great chance.
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S019
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« Reply #7 on: August 11, 2019, 09:28:51 PM »
Lean R with Fox
Tilt D with Gianforte
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: August 11, 2019, 10:10:22 PM »
This one is gone for Dems
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TML
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« Reply #9 on: August 12, 2019, 10:14:32 PM »

Tell that to Governor Rick Hill and Senator Denny Rehberg.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #10 on: August 13, 2019, 04:53:19 PM »
Quote from: TML on August 12, 2019, 10:14:32 PM

Tell that to Governor Rick Hill and Senator Denny Rehberg.

Don’t forget Maryland’s third Senator Matt Rosendale!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: August 13, 2019, 04:56:47 PM »
Quote from: TML on August 12, 2019, 10:14:32 PM

Tell that to Governor Rick Hill and Senator Denny Rehberg.

Dems shouldn't fret about race, just like AK, MT arent redistricting
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TML
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« Reply #12 on: August 13, 2019, 08:24:41 PM »
Quote from: Cory Booker on August 13, 2019, 04:56:47 PM
Quote from: TML on August 12, 2019, 10:14:32 PM

Tell that to Governor Rick Hill and Senator Denny Rehberg.

Dems shouldn't fret about race, just like AK, MT arent redistricting

Actually, MT is currently on track to gaining a seat after 2020. Thus, Democrats being in control would enable them to at least make one seat (the western seat) as D-friendly as possible.
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TML
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« Reply #13 on: August 13, 2019, 08:25:51 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on August 13, 2019, 04:53:19 PM
Quote from: TML on August 12, 2019, 10:14:32 PM

Tell that to Governor Rick Hill and Senator Denny Rehberg.

Don’t forget Maryland’s third Senator Matt Rosendale!

The difference is that Hill & Rehberg were leading in the polls at this stage of their races, whereas the same wasn’t true for Rosendale.
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YE
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« Reply #14 on: August 13, 2019, 08:27:09 PM »
Quote from: TML on August 13, 2019, 08:24:41 PM
Quote from: Cory Booker on August 13, 2019, 04:56:47 PM
Quote from: TML on August 12, 2019, 10:14:32 PM

Tell that to Governor Rick Hill and Senator Denny Rehberg.

Dems shouldn't fret about race, just like AK, MT arent redistricting

Actually, MT is currently on track to gaining a seat after 2020. Thus, Democrats being in control would enable them to at least make one seat (the western seat) as D-friendly as possible.

MT redistricting is controlled by a non-partisan commission.
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Lisa's voting Biden
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« Reply #15 on: August 13, 2019, 08:51:43 PM »
Quote from: Speaker YE on August 13, 2019, 08:27:09 PM
Quote from: TML on August 13, 2019, 08:24:41 PM
Quote from: Cory Booker on August 13, 2019, 04:56:47 PM
Quote from: TML on August 12, 2019, 10:14:32 PM

Tell that to Governor Rick Hill and Senator Denny Rehberg.

Dems shouldn't fret about race, just like AK, MT arent redistricting

Actually, MT is currently on track to gaining a seat after 2020. Thus, Democrats being in control would enable them to at least make one seat (the western seat) as D-friendly as possible.

MT redistricting is controlled by a non-partisan commission.
Regardless, it'd be pretty hard to make two GOP districts without gerrymandering them pretty hard. One is likely gonna end up D-leaning.
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