KY-Lake Research: Andy Beshear (D) +15 vs. Gov. Matt Bevin (R)

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Kentuckians don't care about their own financial well being, only muh culture war. They'll live on the streets just to trigger the libz.

[Politician]

Kentuckians don't care about their own financial well being, only muh culture war. They'll live on the streets just to trigger the libz.

This is your reaction to a poll showing Bevin losing? Lol.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Gravis is looking mighty stupid right about now.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Gravis is looking mighty stupid right about now.

Yes, Gravis is, not Lake Research

[Continential]

Yes, said Representative Amy McGrath.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Kentuckians don't care about their own financial well being, only muh culture war. They'll live on the streets just to trigger the libz.

This is your reaction to a poll showing Bevin losing? Lol.

Bevin was up six in a poll from the same time, and according to other posters here Beshear is only ahead by five in his internal polling. What excuse is there for this race to even be close? Red state america has lost its mind.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

What excuse is there for this race to even be close?

The main reason is that the Kentucky media is very pro-Bevin. For a while, the Louisville Courier-Journal was even promoting Bevin as a possible presidential candidate.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

What excuse is there for this race to even be close?

The main reason is that the Kentucky media is very pro-Bevin. For a while, the Louisville Courier-Journal was even promoting Bevin as a possible presidential candidate.

The same media that endorses Democrats for almost every office is pro-Bevin? You really need to get your head out of the sand

[MT Treasurer]

You really need to get your head out of the sand

He also thought that Clinton's "popularity" in KY would help Conway win in 2015, still thinks Republicans stole Kentucky in 2004, and unironically believes that all 50 states will become more Democratic over time because of the age gap, so don’t waste your breath.

[ElectionsGuy]

What excuse is there for this race to even be close?

The main reason is that the Kentucky media is very pro-Bevin. For a while, the Louisville Courier-Journal was even promoting Bevin as a possible presidential candidate.

The same media that endorses Democrats for almost every office is pro-Bevin? You really need to get your head out of the sand

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As long as Biden or Bernie is the nominee, the 50 state strategy is working and 2000; 2004 or 2016 trends wont be there for the GOP.

JBE is closing in on hitting above 50% to avoid runoff, now Beshear is ahead

[Frenchrepublican]

What excuse is there for this race to even be close?

The main reason is that the Kentucky media is very pro-Bevin. For a while, the Louisville Courier-Journal was even promoting Bevin as a possible presidential candidate.

The same media that endorses Democrats for almost every office is pro-Bevin? You really need to get your head out of the sand

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bevin is probably gone, but this is an internal poll. The Lake Research poll had Quinn beating Rauner in 2014

[IceSpear]

Beshear will join Sen. Heller and Sen. Bredesen in wistfully admiring their leads in August junk polls once he's out of elected office.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Beshear will join Sen. Heller and Sen. Bredesen in wistfully admiring their leads in August junk polls once he's out of elected office.

50-state strategy is working and Dems, Cooper is also performing above the Democratic tickey in NC and he is still winning amd so is JBE

[Person Man]

It could happen but definitely by not this much. I'm not holding my breath. What this PP poll really does is show how in the future a pro-choice movement would organize when abortion finally becomes illegal in a lot of places.

[Alben Barkley]

All you smug circlejerkers who have never set foot in Kentucky in your lives are making complete fools of yourselves. Bevin is absurdly unpopular here in Kentucky. Far more so than the last GOP governor, Ernie Fletcher, ever was, and he was easily beaten. The people who are actually going to be motivated to show up to vote on this off-year will not be Bevin fans, unlike 2015 which was a bad environment for Democrats, had abysmally low turnout, followed two terms of Democratic control, and the Dem nominee was a failed tainted Senate candidate rather than the son of a popular governor who still managed to win a statewide race that same year. Even then Bevin won by single digits.

And with every poll that shows Bevin farther and farther behind — Hell even after his pitiful showing in his own GOP primary he barely scraped by in — you are just willfully removing yourselves farther and farther from reality with your absurd mental gymnastics to explain how ackshually Bevin is ahead.

And no I don’t live in Louisville. I don’t live in a blue bubble. Half my family and friends at least are Republicans. All of those Republicans have said they will not vote for Bevin. Some have outright said they will vote for Beshear. Who has gotten endorsements from Republican State reps and mayors across the state. He has no support whatsoever from HIS OWN STATE PARTY. The man is toast. And it will be SO gratifying to see that become reality come November, and how quiet I imagine most of you will be then.

[Alben Barkley]

Yes, said Representative Amy McGrath.

The polls for McGrath almost uniformly showed it as an extremely close toss-up, with FiveThirtyEight’s final forecast showing it as almost exactly a 50/50 toss-up. Then she lost... 51-48. Wow! So inaccurate! Say people who have no idea how polls work...

The McGrath argument has to be the dumbest in this thread, which is saying a LOT. A House race in a state that has always had a major gulf between how it votes in federal and state races was accurately forecasted by polls, therefore the polls of a gubernatorial race featuring the least popular governor in the country vs. the son of a popular two-term former governor who won statewide office on the same day as the current governor MUST be inaccurate! The logic there is nonexistent.

But, you know, Trump won Kentucky bigly and has even endorsed Bevin! So that means the state will never vote for another Democrat for any office ever again, right? And obviously any polls showing otherwise are wrong. I mean, just ask Senator Morrissey of West Virginia!

[IceSpear]

All you smug circlejerkers who have never set foot in Kentucky in your lives are making complete fools of yourselves.

I've stepped foot in Kentucky several times actually. I will accept your condolences.

[DINGO Joe]

Well, I'm not expert, but I do believe it possible to have set foot in Kentucky and still be a smug circlejerker.